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Height [m]<br />

100<br />

90<br />

80<br />

70<br />

60<br />

50<br />

40<br />

30<br />

5 <strong>Wind</strong> Speed Profiles above the North Sea 31<br />

1% 16% 30% 18% 14% 11% 4% 2% 1% 1%<br />

unstable conditions: u(51m)/u(33 m) < 1.04<br />

neutral conditions<br />

stable conditions: u(51m)/u(33 m) > 1.06<br />

log. profile z0 = 0.2 mm<br />

IEC−61400−3<br />

IEC−61400−1<br />

0.9 1 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5<br />

Mean wind speed normalised to u(33 m)<br />

Fig. 5.3. Profiles and frequencies of different classes of thermal conditions at FINO1<br />

we use the single wind shears between 33 and 51 m height to calculate Φm in<br />

order to provide the ICWP-model with information about the stability of the<br />

atmospheric stratification, the RMSE is reduced to 3.6% at 103 m height.<br />

References<br />

1. J.A.T. Bye. Inertial coupling of fluids with large density contrast. Phys. Lett.<br />

A, 202:222–224, 1995<br />

2. J.A.T. Bye. Inertially coupled Ekman layers. Dyn. Atmos. Ocean, 35:27–39,<br />

2002<br />

3. J. Tambke, J.A.T. Bye, M. Lange, U. Focken, and J.-O. Wolff. Forecasting Offshore<br />

<strong>Wind</strong> Speeds above the North Sea. <strong>Wind</strong> <strong>Energy</strong>, 8:3–16, 2005

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