View/Open - University of Zululand Institutional Repository
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161<br />
The conference papers are available from the Civil Protection Association <strong>of</strong> South Africa<br />
(now known as the Emergency and Disaster Management Association <strong>of</strong> Southern<br />
Africa)*, c/o the Chief Civil Protection Officer, Pietermaritzburg Municipality, P 0 Box<br />
321, Pietermaritzburg, 3200; or the <strong>of</strong>fices <strong>of</strong> Civil Protection at the larger municipalities<br />
in South Africa; or the National Civil Protection Committee, Department <strong>of</strong> Local<br />
Government and National Housing, Private Bag X644, Pretoria, 0001. (Note: The previous<br />
emphasis was on civil defence rather than civil protection. The latest terminology refers<br />
to disaster planning/management or risk reduction - see the chapter on rainfall, elsewhere<br />
in this publication).<br />
10.20.1 The severe weather watch service for South Africa* *<br />
The Weather Bureau, Private Bag X097, Pretoria, 0001, operates a severe weather watch<br />
service for South Africa. The service includes two forecasts, namely, 12 - 48 hour<br />
forecasts or outlook forecasts (warning that severe weather may develop in a given<br />
region), and two hour alerts (nowcasts). The former is a national forecast which is usually<br />
issued by the Pretoria <strong>of</strong>fice <strong>of</strong> the Weather Bureau, and is released to the South African<br />
Broadcasting Corporation for dissemination via radio and television. Outlook forecasts<br />
consist <strong>of</strong> various categories such as special aircraftforecasts (airports); shipping forecasts<br />
(gales, swells and fog); agricultural forecasts (excessive cold with special reference to the<br />
Angora goat farmers <strong>of</strong> the eastern Cape, frost and black frost); forestry forecasts<br />
(possibility <strong>of</strong> fires), and general public forecasts <strong>of</strong> heavy rain (including cyclone warnings<br />
for Natal/KwaZulu and Swaziland). Other types <strong>of</strong> forecasts include notice <strong>of</strong> very high<br />
heat discomfort index conditions (NatallKwaZulu in particular); severe thunderstorms<br />
(especially in the southern Transvaal); flood warnings, and warnings <strong>of</strong> widespread cold<br />
weather and/or snow.<br />
Two hour alerts concern the identification <strong>of</strong> (developing) dangerous weather conditions<br />
(for example, the "Black south-easter" <strong>of</strong> the Cape Province - more correctly termed a cut-<br />
*<br />
**<br />
The head <strong>of</strong>fice address <strong>of</strong> the new Association is: P 0 Box 1703, Krugersdorp, 1740.<br />
Discussion based on Laing, M., 1987. A severe weather watch service for South Africa, Second<br />
National Conference <strong>of</strong> the Civil Defence Association <strong>of</strong> South Africa, 8 - 9 September 1987,<br />
810emfontein, p. 29 - 33. (The United Nations has declared the 1990s as the International Decade<br />
for Natural Disaster Reduction - IDNDR. Natural disasters <strong>of</strong> particular interest include the instability<br />
<strong>of</strong> major metropolitan areas; landslides; volcanic activity; earthquakes; tropical cyclones, floods and<br />
droughts).