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Research Needs for Magnetic Fusion Energy Sciences - US Burning ...

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The Us fusion program is well positioned to carry out much of the required work in existing tokamaks,<br />

with modest upgrades to diagnostics and auxiliary systems, but substantial increases in<br />

experimental time and human resources. Further technology development will be required to extend<br />

these techniques to the burning plasma regime in iteR.<br />

<strong>Research</strong> Elements<br />

transient events such as disruptions and elms must be minimized or eliminated in a burning<br />

plasma. since a disruption is a singular event that terminates the plasma pulse, the conditions<br />

that generate a disruption must be predicted and avoided. techniques to mitigate the effects of a<br />

disruption must also be available, but should only be required in rare instances if avoidance fails.<br />

The transient power loading due to elms must also be avoided in burning plasmas. This impulsive<br />

elm-induced transport is the norm <strong>for</strong> steady high-confinement mode (h-mode) operation<br />

in present devices, but a burning plasma requires a more continuous process that still allows the<br />

optimum level of heat and particle transport in the plasma edge.<br />

disruptions and elms comprise distinct categories of off-normal transient events and have distinct<br />

research requirements. <strong>Research</strong> in this area can be organized into four broad elements:<br />

• Prediction of disruptions.<br />

• avoidance of disruptions.<br />

• mitigation of disruptions.<br />

• avoidance of elm-induced impulsive power loads.<br />

many of the tools to achieve these goals are now being developed, and concepts exist <strong>for</strong> others.<br />

in the next 10 to 20 years, these building blocks must be developed, and integrated into systems<br />

that will ensure reliable, near-steady-state operation of magnetically confined fusion plasmas.<br />

Prediction of disruptions<br />

sustained, full-per<strong>for</strong>mance operation of a burning plasma requires that the conditions leading<br />

to a disruption be identified in time to take action to avoid or mitigate the disruption, a challenging<br />

problem even in existing tokamaks. accurate and reliable prediction is necessary to maximize<br />

fusion per<strong>for</strong>mance without exceeding stability limits, while minimizing “false positive” results<br />

that may lead to unnecessary retreat from high-per<strong>for</strong>mance conditions or shutdown of the discharge.<br />

several levels of prediction must be developed, including empirical characterization of operating<br />

limits, real-time assessment of the plasma operating state including calculation of magnetohydrodynamic<br />

(mhd) stability limits, and identification of plasma “symptoms” indicating that<br />

a disruption could ensue. Reliability requirements motivate a broad portfolio of prediction methods,<br />

and redundancy of detection systems.<br />

key research steps include:<br />

• characterization of disruptions in existing data: cause of disruptions and their relative<br />

frequency, identifiable precursors, electromagnetic and thermal loads.<br />

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