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Research Needs for Magnetic Fusion Energy Sciences - US Burning ...

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<strong>for</strong> use by researchers beyond the developers. teams, providing “production” quality tools, need<br />

resources <strong>for</strong> end-user support and training.<br />

The fusion community needs more analysts, as defined earlier, with broad knowledge of theory,<br />

codes, experiments and statistical techniques <strong>for</strong> estimating uncertainties and errors. computer<br />

time required <strong>for</strong> verification and validation will rival that used by the developers. and while<br />

there is a need <strong>for</strong> both capability and capacity computing, this Thrust will not be accomplished<br />

through a few heroic calculations, but by thousands of large runs, investigating parameter dependence<br />

and testing equations one term at a time.<br />

improved measurements are the key to validating the models and will require substantial investment<br />

in diagnostics. We will need to measure quantities that are currently inaccessible and improve<br />

the spatial coverage <strong>for</strong> those already measured. new experiments will likely be required<br />

— particularly small-scale laboratory devices that can test the most basic elements of complex<br />

nonlinear models. advanced diagnostics will be required on these experiments, perhaps supplied<br />

through multi-institutional collaborations as they often are on larger facilities. The largest facilities<br />

will also require improved diagnostic sets and must have adequate run time to support the<br />

added demands of a more comprehensive validation program. international collaborations on experiments<br />

or diagnostics should be actively sought where appropriate.<br />

Work on this Thrust could begin now. all of the elements described can be addressed, at some level,<br />

without waiting <strong>for</strong> future results or facilities. The FsP, which could <strong>for</strong>m part of this Thrust,<br />

is already in a program definition phase. other theory and computation activities could be augmented<br />

to fill in gaps as they are identified. Requirements <strong>for</strong> new diagnostics or new experiments<br />

could be assessed and design work begun. at the same time, this Thrust will benefit from<br />

future developments. new machines, such as the asian superconductive tokamaks and those proposed<br />

in other ReneW thrusts, and in particular iteR, provide plat<strong>for</strong>ms <strong>for</strong> model testing that<br />

extend beyond the parameter ranges accessible in current machines. alternate concept devices<br />

would likewise extend the range <strong>for</strong> validation through tests on machines with different magnetic<br />

geometries or parameter ordering.<br />

integration of Thrust Elements<br />

The elements of the Thrust combine into a unified ef<strong>for</strong>t, integrating resources across the fusion<br />

sciences program. Theory, computation and experiments are coordinated to solve a set of the most<br />

critical plasma physics problems. topical science areas would be integrated at appropriate levels,<br />

spanning a wide range in temporal and spatial scales and physical phenomena. a broad spectrum<br />

of codes would be developed or exploited, ranging from single-developer research codes to large<br />

collaborative ef<strong>for</strong>ts, such as those produced by the FsP. The Thrust would benefit from close collaboration<br />

among applied mathematicians, computer scientists and plasma physicists. it would<br />

utilize the full spectrum of experimental facilities and require the application of new ideas and<br />

advanced technologies to produce innovative diagnostics crucial <strong>for</strong> code validation. The impact<br />

of the Thrust would be felt across the entire program, motivating and guiding theory and computation<br />

through closer interaction with experiments. it would provide stronger motivation <strong>for</strong> diagnostic<br />

development and place demands <strong>for</strong> run time on experimental facilities. Progress would<br />

enable more complex experiments to be per<strong>for</strong>med with the help of accurate scenario modeling<br />

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