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Research Needs for Magnetic Fusion Energy Sciences - US Burning ...

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Scenario optimization<br />

The experimental goal of research in the area of core dynamics in a D-T plasma is to determine if we can<br />

attain the plasma parameters required <strong>for</strong> a fusion power plant. What is the most attractive core<br />

burning plasma regime that can be achieved?<br />

The external control of a high-per<strong>for</strong>mance plasma core will become progressively more difficult,<br />

relying on the self-organization of the plasma. as the ratio of self-heating to applied heating<br />

P alpha /P input becomes larger, the external heating sources become a weaker contribution, tending<br />

to be only one-fifth to one-tenth of the total power into the plasma. as the plasma density<br />

increases, as it must to generate large fusion powers, the current drive from external sources becomes<br />

a smaller fraction of the total plasma current, also about one-fifth to one-tenth , while the<br />

self-generated bootstrap current dominates. There is expected to be a net loss of diagnostics compared<br />

to those typically found on experimental tokamaks today, as the neutron fluence and power<br />

levels increase. a strong reliance on simulations to replace critical measurements is expected to<br />

emerge. multi-level feedback systems would be required on a level beyond that on present tokamaks<br />

or even iteR to control the many coupled parameters. Understanding how high a core plasma<br />

per<strong>for</strong>mance is consistent with a stable and sustainable plasma configuration is a major goal<br />

of integrated core plasma studies.<br />

Role of predictive capability in extrapolation to DEMO<br />

Demonstrating plasma parameters at the same level as a fusion power plant (DEMO) is not possible without<br />

building the power plant. There<strong>for</strong>e, parameters will be demonstrated only up to some level, likely not<br />

at precisely the same as a power plant, and often in isolation and not all simultaneously. What DEMO<br />

parameters can we demonstrate dimensionally or non-dimensionally, and what sets can be<br />

demonstrated simultaneously in a given D-T burning experiment?<br />

This aspect leads directly to the importance of predictive theory and simulation, to bridge the gap<br />

from the final pre-demo device to demo. here we emphasize the closing window of opportunity<br />

to establish a sufficient level of predictive capability. to validate theory and simulation on experiments,<br />

advanced diagnostic techniques are required, such as turbulence fluctuation diagnostics,<br />

to provide a detailed measurement to compare to a simulation. as the environment in a d-t<br />

tokamak becomes more severe from high neutron and plasma loads, many of these diagnostics<br />

cannot be utilized. as the most sophisticated diagnostics disappear, the ability to make the most<br />

direct comparisons with theory and simulations will also diminish. The full use of d-d tokamaks<br />

(including the long pulse asian devices) and the low fluence iteR d-t tokamak will be critical to<br />

establishing a simulation capability that is required to make the step to demo. This is discussed<br />

further in this Theme.<br />

It is expected that the size of the gaps in demonstrating DEMO-level plasma parameters experimentally,<br />

and the confidence in validated simulation <strong>for</strong> extrapolating across such gaps, will vary, requiring careful<br />

planning <strong>for</strong> proposed devices and physics theory and simulation development. How do we plan predictive<br />

simulation developments and experimental developments to simultaneously minimize<br />

projections to DEMO?<br />

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