Poker Math That Matters

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$Practical Poker Math$

and AQ+. Our equity with KJo against that range is about 30%. So, when we get all the money in, we’ll own 30% of that pot. The final all-in pot will be about $200. And, 30% of $200 is $60. 12 2. If we subtract that from the amount we have to shove, which is $92, we get $32. 3. We’re risking $32 to win $33. This is about x to win x, so we need to have him fold 50% of the time. You can check the work with the long equation we did before. 105 We can even take this a step further and find out what percentage of hands he would have to reraise to make our shove +EV. He is calling with about 4% of hands. What number times 50% equals 4? 0.50x = 4 x = 8 He would have to reraise with more than 8% of hands to make our shove +EV. So, you are now equipped to do a lot of work away from the table examining semi-bluffs and have a quick way to estimate how often they need to fold when you’re at the table. As you work with more of these, you'll get very quick at this. 12 I would do this quickly by thinking about what 10% of $200 is and then multiplying that times 3.
106 Quiz (Answers on pg. 188) Assume villain always has us covered. Use estimations to answer the following questions. 1. Hero: 3♦4♠ Villain: T♣9♣ Board: 5♦6♣T♥J♥ Pot was $10. We shove $20. How often does villain have to fold? 2. Hero: 5♠4♠ Villain: A♦A♣ Board: 6♠Q♠K♥ Pot was $10. We shove $30. How often does villain have to fold? 3. Hero: A♠K♥ Villain: T♣8♣ Board: 6♠3♥T♥ Pot was $10. We shove $24. How often does villain have to fold?
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Poker Math That Matters Simplifying
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Table of Contents Acknowledgements
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Set-Mining ........................
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Acknowledgements One of the most va
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xi poker fits my family's lifestyle
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2 Throughout this book, you will se
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4 Let’s talk a bit about how to d
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6 want to just play, play, and play
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Measurements Your Surroundings Ther
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Another measurement to understand i
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those sections. For a beginning pla
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Thinking About Bets in No-Limit Hol
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Here's why this works. If we were t
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playing at a 6-max table, he’ll p
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money for a while and not even be c
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Getting Started with Numbers Workin
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The last topic to cover in this sec
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doesn’t happen to complete our ra
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Expectation Value You’re walking
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0.5 * (-$10) = (-$5) Now let’s do
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Quiz (Answers on pg. 158) 1. Someon
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36 left to come on the river. What
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38 Hero: 6♠7♠ Villain: A♣K♦
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40 TT88A. Your opponent’s best ha
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42 Gutshot straight draw (aka Gutte
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44 you’ll need to add these toget
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46 9. Hero: Q♦K♥ Villain: A♠J
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48 19. Hero: A♠Q♣ Villain: 5♣
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50 The 4/2 Rule I hope you’ve tak
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52 pretty simple, right? But, of co
Page 65 and 66: 54 Let’s try one more. Hero: J♥
Page 67 and 68: 56 We can multiply these fractions
Page 69 and 70: 58 4. Hero: 9♦6♦ Villain: J♦J
Page 71 and 72: 60 So, the equation looks like this
Page 73 and 74: 62 We have a flush draw. The pot is
Page 75 and 76: 64 Quiz (Answers on pg. 174) For th
Page 77 and 78: 66 Implied Odds In this section, we
Page 79 and 80: 68 Table 6. Multiplication factor t
Page 81 and 82: 70 3. Hero: A♣Q♦ Villain: J♦J
Page 83 and 84: 72 When we look at the hand range s
Page 85 and 86: 74 Figure 7. Two groups containing
Page 87 and 88: 76 the probability distribution of
Page 89 and 90: 78 the suited A holdings villain co
Page 91 and 92: 80 8. Hero: 5♥6♥ Villain: 99, Q
Page 93 and 94: 82 section. As usual, we’ll talk
Page 95 and 96: 84 Now, obviously we’re going to
Page 97 and 98: 86 AA: 3 combinations- 12% KK: 3 co
Page 99 and 100: 88 2. Hero: J♠A♠ Villain: QQ, K
Page 101 and 102: 90 So, we lost $360 in Sklansky-buc
Page 103 and 104: 92 Quiz (Answers on pg. 184) Calcul
Page 105 and 106: 94 Take a second and think about th
Page 107 and 108: 96 make that bet. Looking at the EV
Page 109 and 110: 98 2. Hero: 5♠4♠ Villain: Fold
Page 111 and 112: 100 Let's do a quick exercise to es
Page 113 and 114: 102 39x - 7.56 + 7.56x > 0 46.56x >
Page 115: 104 $81(0.24) = $19.44 2. Our shove
Page 119 and 120: 108 Value-Betting Value-betting is
Page 121 and 122: 110 and we’ll give him a $500 sta
Page 123 and 124: 112 only the hands that beat us. Ou
Page 125 and 126: 114 2. Hero: K♥Q♥ Villain: Call
Page 127 and 128: 116 7. Hero is out of position: K
Page 129 and 130: 118 and then consider your pot odds
Page 131 and 132: 120 Quiz (Answers on pg. 197) 1. Ho
Page 133 and 134: 122 Seems like a small thing, right
Page 135 and 136: 124 all sorts of As, Js and Ts in h
Page 137 and 138: 126 Quiz (Answers on pg. 198) 1. Wh
Page 139 and 140: 128 First of all, the above calcula
Page 141 and 142: 130 past hands may cause you to twe
Page 143 and 144: 132 would want to get the money in
Page 145 and 146: 134 he can call profitably, if we h
Page 147 and 148: 136 It's obviously a mistake for hi
Page 149 and 150: 138 4. Hero: Q♣Q♦ Villain: 8♣
Page 151 and 152: 140 decision may be a totally diffe
Page 153 and 154: 142 adjustment. So, in order to avo
Page 155 and 156: 144 balanced poker every day of the
Page 157 and 158: 146
Page 159 and 160: 148 Congratulations on making your
Page 161 and 162: 150 Comparing these two bet sizes,
Page 163 and 164: 152 So, we're still better of betti
Page 165 and 166: 154 Your Surroundings Quiz Answers
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156 2. If you played 10,000 hands b
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158 Answer: Probability is 2 6 odds
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160 4. Someone holds out a deck of
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162 4. Hero: 5♣7♣ Villain: K♦
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164 9. Hero: Q♦K♥ Villain: A♠
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166 14. Hero: 7♠8♠ Villain: 9
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168 18. Hero: A♠5♠ Villain: A
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170 22. Hero: 4♠5♠ Villain: A
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172 The 4/2 Rule Quiz Answers 1. He
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174 6. Hero: Q♦Q♥ Villain: A♥
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176 4. Hero: 9♦6♦ Villain: J♦
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178 Combinations Quiz Answers 1. He
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180 7. Hero: 6♥7♠ Villain: QQ,
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182 2. Hero: J♠A♠ Villain: QQ,
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184 outs for 6% equity. Against 66,
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186 Bluffing Quiz Answers 1. Hero:
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188 Answer: A 1/3 pot bet must work
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190 $24 - $14 = $10 We’re risking
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192 0.57($20) + 0.43(-$20) = EV 11.
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194 4. Hero: A♦J♦ Villain has $
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196 6. Hero is out of position: K
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198 2. How often will you flop an o
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200 2. What are some of the factors
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202 5. When might we allow some dra
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204
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206 Chopping Outs: Cards to come th
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208 Offsuit: Hole cards that do not
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Owen Gaines also wrote Hole Card Co
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Poker Math That Matters

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