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Poker Math That Matters

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Table 11. Hole cards flopping hands.<br />

119<br />

Hole cards Flop Percentage<br />

Pocket pair Set or better 12%<br />

Suited unpaired Flush 1%<br />

Suited unpaired Four-flush 11%<br />

Suited unpaired Backdoor flush draw 42%<br />

Unpaired Pair 27%<br />

Unpaired Two pair 2%<br />

Unpaired Trips 1%<br />

Connectors Straight 1%<br />

Connectors Open-ended straight draw 10%<br />

1-Gapper Straight 1%<br />

1-Gapper Open-ended straight draw 8%<br />

For the final part in this section, we should be familiar with some<br />

of the common clashing hands on a given flop. Table 12 shows<br />

some of these situations. The equities given are assuming you<br />

will be seeing both the turn and the river.<br />

Table 12. Clashing flops.<br />

Situation Example First Hand’s Equity<br />

Flush draw vs. set<br />

A♠J♠ vs. 8♦8♥<br />

Board: 2♠3♦8♠<br />

26%<br />

Overpair vs. pair +<br />

flush draw<br />

A♦A♠ vs. 5♥7♥<br />

Board: J♥2♥7♣<br />

50%<br />

Pair vs. flush draw<br />

+ overcard<br />

A♣J♣ vs. K♥K♦<br />

Board: 2♣7♣J♥<br />

52%<br />

These are some of the more common situations I commit to<br />

memory. Again, you may discover you’re thinking heavily<br />

about a certain situation frequently while playing. If that’s the<br />

case, be sure to analyze that situation and commit it to memory<br />

so you’re not spending energy on it at the poker table.

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