Poker Math That Matters

188
Answer: A 1/3 pot bet must work more than 25% of the
time. Villain is folding 12 combinations. He’s calling
with 39 combinations.
12 / 51 = 0.24
The bluff is not profitable.
Semi-Bluffing Quiz Answers
Assume villain always has us covered. Use estimations to
answer the following questions.
1. Hero: 3♦4♠
Villain: T♣9♣
Board: 5♦6♣T♥J♥
Pot was $10. We shove $20. How often does villain
have to fold?
Answer: Our equity is around 16%. The final pot will
be $50.
50 * 0.16 = $8
$20 – $8 = $12
We’re risking $12 to win $10. This is a little over x to
win x, so we’ll need to have him fold more than 55% of
the time.