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Poker Math That Matters

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56<br />

We can multiply these fractions together to find out how often<br />

we do not hit our 8 on the turn or river when we’re all-in on the<br />

flop.<br />

41<br />

45<br />

40 1640<br />

* = = 0.828<br />

44 1980<br />

Now we subtract that from one to find out how often we do hit<br />

the 8.<br />

1 - 0.82 = 0.18 = 18%.<br />

This is exactly what <strong>Poker</strong>stove gave us.<br />

So, that’s the background for understanding where the equity<br />

percentages come from. However, as you’ve seen, using the 4/2<br />

rule is a very easy way to come up with your equity estimate.<br />

We’ll find out why estimating equity is important in future<br />

sections. However, for now, continue to practice estimating your<br />

equity.<br />

One thing I didn’t talk about yet is estimating your equity<br />

preflop. Preflop equities mean very little unless you're going to<br />

be getting all-in preflop. If you're not, the strength of your hand<br />

is much more defined by other factors like your position, the<br />

amount of money remaining in your stack, your opponents and<br />

how your hand will play postflop. In order to determine your<br />

all-in preflop equity, it's easiest to just get used to knowing them<br />

from messing around with a software like <strong>Poker</strong>stove. However,<br />

that’s not the point of this lesson. Later in this book, I'll list<br />

some of the more common all-in preflop situations I've<br />

committed to memory.

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