14.11.2012 Views

Poker Math That Matters

Poker Math That Matters

Poker Math That Matters

SHOW MORE
SHOW LESS

Create successful ePaper yourself

Turn your PDF publications into a flip-book with our unique Google optimized e-Paper software.

38<br />

Hero: 6♠7♠<br />

Villain: A♣K♦<br />

Board: K♥5♦6♣<br />

Now you have the chance for the turn and river to come an 8 and<br />

9, a 4 and 8, or a 3 and 4. Any of those three combinations of<br />

turn and river cards would give you a straight. This is a chance<br />

for improvement you didn’t have before. Now your hand would<br />

have a 23% chance to win, and your opponent would have the<br />

remaining 77%. This is about a 5% improvement from the<br />

previous board.<br />

Some backdoor straight draws are stronger than others. For<br />

example, if the board were K♥4♦6♣, you would still have a<br />

backdoor straight draw. However, your percentage would go<br />

down to 21%. This is because we lost a straight chance. When<br />

the board contained a 5, you had three chances for the straight.<br />

Now with the board having a 4 instead of a 5, you only have two<br />

chances for the straight. The turn and river need to come down<br />

either a 5 and 8 or a 3 and 8. So, this hurts your winning<br />

percentage a bit. The same is true if the board were K♥3♦6♣.<br />

You have the chance for a backdoor straight, but the board must<br />

come specifically a 4 and 5, giving you only one chance for a<br />

straight. With that, your percentage would be 20%. But, these<br />

specifics aren’t nearly as important as recognizing a backdoor<br />

draw and realizing on average it adds about 4%.<br />

Having multiple backdoor draws can add quite a bit of value to a<br />

hand. Let's look at this example.

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!