14.11.2012 Views

Poker Math That Matters

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Hit the Deck<br />

Counting Outs<br />

We’ve now laid the foundation to begin understanding how to<br />

make good decisions when having the opportunity to make a<br />

wager. Now it’s time to begin applying this math to poker.<br />

When watching poker on TV, you’ll often see a percentage next<br />

to the players’ cards. The percentage is letting the viewers know<br />

how often each player is going to win the hand by the river. I’ve<br />

often heard new players say “If I could only know those<br />

percentages, I could do alright.” Well, there’s a lot more to<br />

playing good poker than knowing what those percentages are;<br />

however, it is a critical skill to be able to estimate that<br />

percentage fairly accurately. The start of this process is by being<br />

able to count outs.<br />

What is an out? An out is a card that can come on a future<br />

street(s) that can give you the best hand. So, thinking about outs<br />

only applies when you do not have the best hand and there are<br />

more cards to be dealt. Let’s say you are playing a hand, and<br />

you’re on the turn.<br />

Hero: Q♠T♥<br />

Villain: K♦7♣<br />

Board: 6♠9♦2♣K♥<br />

You’re the hero, and your opponent is the villain. It just makes<br />

sense, we’re the good guys, and they’re the bad guys, right? The<br />

villain has a pair of Ks, and you only have Q high. So you<br />

definitely do not have the best hand. However, there is one card<br />

35

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