18.11.2012 Views

Plutonium Biokinetics in Human Body A. Luciani - Kit-Bibliothek - FZK

Plutonium Biokinetics in Human Body A. Luciani - Kit-Bibliothek - FZK

Plutonium Biokinetics in Human Body A. Luciani - Kit-Bibliothek - FZK

SHOW MORE
SHOW LESS

You also want an ePaper? Increase the reach of your titles

YUMPU automatically turns print PDFs into web optimized ePapers that Google loves.

Americium <strong>in</strong> the lungs [Bq]<br />

1000<br />

100<br />

10<br />

Measurements<br />

Model predictions<br />

Am Directly Lung<strong>in</strong>haled<br />

241 241<br />

Am(Pu) Am from LungPu<br />

decay<br />

241 Am<br />

1 10 100 1000 10000 100000<br />

Days post <strong>in</strong>take<br />

Figure 3.2.11 Measurements and model predictions for Americium activity reta<strong>in</strong>ed <strong>in</strong> lungs<br />

us<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>dividual parameters for the <strong>in</strong>vestigated subjects.<br />

A very good agreement between model’s predictions and measurements of the ur<strong>in</strong>ary<br />

excretion of <strong>Plutonium</strong> was found. Particularly at long time the model predicts an<br />

enhancement of the ur<strong>in</strong>ary excretion of <strong>Plutonium</strong> that seems to be comparable with the<br />

enhancement experimentally observed. A good agreement of model’s predictions for the lung<br />

burden of Americium with the experimental f<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>gs was still kept.<br />

All the measurements previously classified <strong>in</strong> the most reliable groups of data for<br />

test<strong>in</strong>g and modell<strong>in</strong>g purpose are now well fitted over all the time of observation of the<br />

subject.<br />

On the basis of the previous last assumptions the <strong>in</strong>take of 241 Am directly <strong>in</strong>haled was<br />

evaluated as 7 kBq. The <strong>in</strong>takes of all the other <strong>in</strong>volved radionuclides were calculated by<br />

means of the their ratio at the moment of the <strong>in</strong>take (second column of Table 3.2.2).<br />

It should be po<strong>in</strong>ted out that experimental data were fitted by adopt<strong>in</strong>g assumptions<br />

always oriented to develop each time a realistic and physiologically based model. In this<br />

frame, as already underl<strong>in</strong>ed, the factors, by which the transfer rates were modified <strong>in</strong> order to<br />

adapt the model to this specific subject, were chosen <strong>in</strong> the range of values as estimated on the<br />

basis of the uncerta<strong>in</strong>ty analysis. Furthermore all the assumptions were kept very simple and<br />

somewhat “rough” as much as it was possible: for example only the transfer rates determ<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g<br />

<strong>Plutonium</strong> ur<strong>in</strong>ary excretion ma<strong>in</strong>ly at long time were considered <strong>in</strong> order to model the<br />

observed enhancement of ur<strong>in</strong>ary excretion. Other comb<strong>in</strong>ation of transfer rate parameters<br />

could have been considered too. For example even parameters significantly <strong>in</strong>fluenc<strong>in</strong>g the<br />

ur<strong>in</strong>ary excretion not only at long time could be used for such purpose, by compensat<strong>in</strong>g their<br />

effect at short time with other parameter with opposite effect <strong>in</strong> the same time period. This<br />

suggests that different other approaches, even if more complicated but always acceptable <strong>in</strong><br />

the frame of likely <strong>in</strong>ter-<strong>in</strong>dividual differences, could be possible <strong>in</strong> order to describe the<br />

enhancement of <strong>Plutonium</strong> ur<strong>in</strong>ary excretion at long time.<br />

151

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!