Plutonium Biokinetics in Human Body A. Luciani - Kit-Bibliothek - FZK
Plutonium Biokinetics in Human Body A. Luciani - Kit-Bibliothek - FZK
Plutonium Biokinetics in Human Body A. Luciani - Kit-Bibliothek - FZK
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Americium <strong>in</strong> the lungs [Bq]<br />
1000<br />
100<br />
10<br />
Measurements<br />
Model predictions<br />
Am Directly Lung<strong>in</strong>haled<br />
241 241<br />
Am(Pu) Am from LungPu<br />
decay<br />
241 Am<br />
1 10 100 1000 10000 100000<br />
Days post <strong>in</strong>take<br />
Figure 3.2.11 Measurements and model predictions for Americium activity reta<strong>in</strong>ed <strong>in</strong> lungs<br />
us<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>dividual parameters for the <strong>in</strong>vestigated subjects.<br />
A very good agreement between model’s predictions and measurements of the ur<strong>in</strong>ary<br />
excretion of <strong>Plutonium</strong> was found. Particularly at long time the model predicts an<br />
enhancement of the ur<strong>in</strong>ary excretion of <strong>Plutonium</strong> that seems to be comparable with the<br />
enhancement experimentally observed. A good agreement of model’s predictions for the lung<br />
burden of Americium with the experimental f<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>gs was still kept.<br />
All the measurements previously classified <strong>in</strong> the most reliable groups of data for<br />
test<strong>in</strong>g and modell<strong>in</strong>g purpose are now well fitted over all the time of observation of the<br />
subject.<br />
On the basis of the previous last assumptions the <strong>in</strong>take of 241 Am directly <strong>in</strong>haled was<br />
evaluated as 7 kBq. The <strong>in</strong>takes of all the other <strong>in</strong>volved radionuclides were calculated by<br />
means of the their ratio at the moment of the <strong>in</strong>take (second column of Table 3.2.2).<br />
It should be po<strong>in</strong>ted out that experimental data were fitted by adopt<strong>in</strong>g assumptions<br />
always oriented to develop each time a realistic and physiologically based model. In this<br />
frame, as already underl<strong>in</strong>ed, the factors, by which the transfer rates were modified <strong>in</strong> order to<br />
adapt the model to this specific subject, were chosen <strong>in</strong> the range of values as estimated on the<br />
basis of the uncerta<strong>in</strong>ty analysis. Furthermore all the assumptions were kept very simple and<br />
somewhat “rough” as much as it was possible: for example only the transfer rates determ<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g<br />
<strong>Plutonium</strong> ur<strong>in</strong>ary excretion ma<strong>in</strong>ly at long time were considered <strong>in</strong> order to model the<br />
observed enhancement of ur<strong>in</strong>ary excretion. Other comb<strong>in</strong>ation of transfer rate parameters<br />
could have been considered too. For example even parameters significantly <strong>in</strong>fluenc<strong>in</strong>g the<br />
ur<strong>in</strong>ary excretion not only at long time could be used for such purpose, by compensat<strong>in</strong>g their<br />
effect at short time with other parameter with opposite effect <strong>in</strong> the same time period. This<br />
suggests that different other approaches, even if more complicated but always acceptable <strong>in</strong><br />
the frame of likely <strong>in</strong>ter-<strong>in</strong>dividual differences, could be possible <strong>in</strong> order to describe the<br />
enhancement of <strong>Plutonium</strong> ur<strong>in</strong>ary excretion at long time.<br />
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