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Hydraulic ram pumps and Sling Pumps

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Dirty Water: Estimated Deaths from Water-Related Disease 2000-2020, Peter H. GleickEstimate 3: Meeting the UN Millennium GoalsIt is reasonable to assume that additional actions will be taken in the next few years toaccelerate the rate at which access to safe water is provided. An increasing number ofnations, international water conferences, <strong>and</strong> aid organizations have announced efforts toimprove global access to water. For example, the recent ministerial statement from theWorld Water Forum in 2000 in The Hague (Hague 2000) called for efforts to guarantee“that every person has access to enough safe water at an affordable cost to lead ahealthy <strong>and</strong> productive life <strong>and</strong> that the vulnerable are protected from the risks ofwater-related hazards.…”In September of the same year, the United Nations General Assembly adopted TheMillennium Goals (UN 2000b), which among other explicit targets called for the worldcommunity:“To halve, by the year 2015…the proportion of people who are unable to reach orto afford safe drinking water.Efforts to meet this Millennium Goal will lead to a decrease in the total populationwithout access to safe drinking water, but it will not come close to eliminating theproblem. Meeting the goal will reduce total population without access by approximately30 million people per year from an estimated 1.1 billion in 2000 to 650 million in 2015<strong>and</strong> 500 million in 2020 if the effort continues past 2015. If today’s water-related deathrate is applied to this decreasing population, the total number of deaths between 2000 <strong>and</strong>2020 will drop substantially. Equation 3 computes the number of deaths from waterrelateddiseases estimated to occur if the death rate remains proportional to the populationwithout access to adequate drinking water (as in Equation 2), but that population sizedecreases in line with the Millennium Goal requirements to 2015 <strong>and</strong> beyond.Equation 3: Deaths from Water-Related Diseases 2000-2020, Proportional toPopulation Without Access to Adequate Drinking Water (Meeting Millennium Goal)TD MG = Σ t=2000 to 2020 (D/PWA) 2000(PWA2 t )TD MG = Total water-related deaths from 2000 to 2020 (meeting Millennium Goal).Σ t=2000 to 2020 = Sum over the years 2000 to 2020(D/PWA) 2000 = Water-related deaths in 2000/Population without access to improved watersupply in 2000PWA2 t = Population without access to improved water supply in year “t”, meetingMillennium GoalPWA2 t = (PWA t-1 -∆P tMG )PWA t-1 = Population without access to improved water supply in year “t-1”(PWA t=2000 = 1.1 billion).∆P tMG = Change in annual population without access to improved water supply to meetMillennium Goal. This value is computed using a linear rate of improvement betweennow <strong>and</strong> 2015 – approximately 30 million people per year.Pacific Institute for Studies in Development, Environment, <strong>and</strong> Security • www.pacinst.org • page 7/12

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