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Money and Markets: Essays in Honor of Leland B. Yeager

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172 Steven Horwitzadjustments is <strong>in</strong> the nature <strong>of</strong> a public good, <strong>and</strong> private <strong>in</strong>centives to supply publicgoods are notoriously <strong>in</strong>adequate.” The benefits <strong>of</strong> go<strong>in</strong>g first are dispersed, but thepotential costs are concentrated, thus it is difficult to get the process started. 9 Thelength <strong>of</strong> time over which no actor is will<strong>in</strong>g to “go first” will also expla<strong>in</strong> the degree<strong>of</strong> downward stick<strong>in</strong>ess <strong>in</strong> prices. What all <strong>of</strong> these possibilities suggest is that actorsmust beg<strong>in</strong> to search for the appropriate response to the change <strong>in</strong> dem<strong>and</strong>; they willnot automatically know what the optimal response is.Shah (1997: 52–4) provides a further synthesis <strong>of</strong> the <strong>Yeager</strong>ian <strong>and</strong> Austrianapproaches by <strong>of</strong>fer<strong>in</strong>g a market discovery process explanation <strong>of</strong> why priceseventually fall. By <strong>in</strong>tegrat<strong>in</strong>g Alchian’s (1969) work on the costs <strong>of</strong> f<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>g out<strong>in</strong>formation about prices <strong>in</strong>to an Austrian entrepreneurial framework, Shah arguesthat <strong>in</strong> the face <strong>of</strong> the slacken<strong>in</strong>g dem<strong>and</strong> generated by an excess dem<strong>and</strong> formoney, firms will first have to decide whether the loss <strong>of</strong> bus<strong>in</strong>ess is a local or morewidespread phenomenon. This local vs. widespread dist<strong>in</strong>ction roughly correlateswith the “real vs. nom<strong>in</strong>al” dist<strong>in</strong>ction. Given that changes <strong>in</strong> dem<strong>and</strong> do not comemarked with their cause, <strong>and</strong> given that sellers’ <strong>in</strong>terpretation <strong>of</strong> the cause willaffect the benefits <strong>of</strong> lower<strong>in</strong>g their prices, sellers may well respond first by mak<strong>in</strong>gchanges <strong>in</strong> the non-price variables relevant to their products as a way to purchaseadditional <strong>in</strong>formation about the fall <strong>in</strong> dem<strong>and</strong>. As sellers buy time <strong>in</strong> this way, thefull prices <strong>of</strong> goods (the monetary price plus the non-price factors) become morevariable (Shah 1997: 53), <strong>and</strong> this leads to buyers engag<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> more <strong>in</strong>formationacquisition <strong>and</strong> search<strong>in</strong>g for better options. This puts more downward pressure onmoney prices. Eventually,Sellers f<strong>in</strong>d that they are unable to ma<strong>in</strong>ta<strong>in</strong> their customers <strong>and</strong> pr<strong>of</strong>its bysimply adjust<strong>in</strong>g non-price variables. In the face <strong>of</strong> a monetary contraction,delivery lags cannot be shortened or auxiliary services cannot be <strong>in</strong>creasedwithout limits <strong>in</strong> order to sell more products. Ultimately prices have to belowered.(Shah 1997: 53, emphasis <strong>in</strong> orig<strong>in</strong>al)Shah later notes that this process is simply a Hayek–Kirzner entrepreneurialdiscovery process exp<strong>and</strong>ed to <strong>in</strong>clude non-price factors.This search process will take time <strong>and</strong> will not happen smoothly across actors.Even after they unstick, prices, therefore, will not immediately fall to the appropriatelevel given the excess dem<strong>and</strong> for money. In addition, the ragged nature <strong>of</strong> thedecl<strong>in</strong>e <strong>in</strong> prices will <strong>in</strong>volve wealth redistributions among actors. All <strong>of</strong> this is <strong>in</strong>contrast to the perfectly competitive model <strong>in</strong> which prices react quickly <strong>and</strong>smoothly to external changes. Model<strong>in</strong>g human actors realistically leads to adifferent result.One element that is miss<strong>in</strong>g from the <strong>Yeager</strong> monetary disequilibrium story isthe capital–<strong>in</strong>terest rate process. One <strong>of</strong> <strong>Yeager</strong>’s significant disagreements withthe Austrians is over these very issues. However, the <strong>in</strong>jection <strong>of</strong> some Austriancapital-theoretic <strong>in</strong>sights <strong>in</strong>to the process explored above provides some helpfulnew <strong>in</strong>sights. In the next section, we will take a look at the Austrian <strong>in</strong>flationary

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