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Money and Markets: Essays in Honor of Leland B. Yeager

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246 Gordon Tullockwhich they later use to supplement their earned <strong>in</strong>comes. With the recent changes<strong>in</strong> the United States old age pension system, it could be said that that is the objectivetoward which the system aims.The black economy is frequently regarded as a problem. If you’re try<strong>in</strong>g toreduce <strong>of</strong>ficial unemployment the black economy does <strong>in</strong>crease the problem byhav<strong>in</strong>g un<strong>of</strong>ficial employment which competes with <strong>of</strong>ficial. But that seems to bemerely a bookkeep<strong>in</strong>g matter. To have older people cont<strong>in</strong>ue work<strong>in</strong>g as long asthey want is surely desirable both from the st<strong>and</strong>po<strong>in</strong>t <strong>of</strong> their own <strong>in</strong>come <strong>and</strong> <strong>of</strong>the nation. Those economists who devoted so much work <strong>and</strong> so much <strong>in</strong>genuityto determ<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g how large the black economy is have no doubt improved ourknowledge. In many cases, however, they rather imply that they are discover<strong>in</strong>gsome sort <strong>of</strong> social disease. This is not true. They are discover<strong>in</strong>g that our <strong>of</strong>ficialstatistics are frequently wrong, but that is a m<strong>in</strong>or matter. We are better <strong>of</strong>f as aresult <strong>of</strong> the black economy than we would be if the rules were <strong>in</strong> fact strictlyenforced. Of course we would be even better <strong>of</strong>f if we repealed all <strong>of</strong> these ruleswhich require that part <strong>of</strong> the national product <strong>and</strong> part <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>dividual <strong>in</strong>comes mustbe concealed. We are better <strong>of</strong>f than our <strong>of</strong>ficial statistics show.The effect <strong>of</strong> the Social Security system on the size <strong>and</strong> government is bothparadoxical <strong>and</strong> ironic. It is usually listed as <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g size <strong>and</strong> government, <strong>and</strong><strong>in</strong> part it does. There is the Social Security Adm<strong>in</strong>istration, very elaborategovernment-sponsored medical facilities <strong>in</strong> many countries, <strong>and</strong> very heavy generalgovernment taxes. These <strong>in</strong>crease the measured size <strong>of</strong> the government. On theother h<strong>and</strong> the black economy performs services which without the black economywould probably ma<strong>in</strong>ly be performed with<strong>in</strong> the <strong>of</strong>ficial economy. Hence it reducesthe size <strong>of</strong> the government as a share <strong>of</strong> the national economy by provid<strong>in</strong>g thatpart <strong>of</strong> our national product is produced “<strong>in</strong> black.” There’s no doubt that the taxes<strong>and</strong> the rules on work<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> your old age reduce the economy <strong>of</strong> Germany. There isno doubt also that the large number <strong>of</strong> people work<strong>in</strong>g “black” <strong>in</strong>creases it. As longas our data on the black economy are <strong>in</strong>complete, we don’t know the exact effect <strong>of</strong>the second term. There is a small but <strong>in</strong>genious collection <strong>of</strong> economists who workhard on attempts to measure the black economy. Should their activity be regardedas <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g the national economy or as simply wasted?In order to avoid giv<strong>in</strong>g a mistaken impression, I should like to emphasize thatthe pension system is by no means the only reason for part <strong>of</strong> the economy be<strong>in</strong>gblack. The <strong>in</strong>come tax is clearly an important matter <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>deed all other taxesprovide a motive for production be<strong>in</strong>g kept <strong>of</strong>f the books. I have no idea which <strong>of</strong>these rules which lead to part <strong>of</strong> the economy be<strong>in</strong>g quasi-concealed is the mostimportant <strong>in</strong> empirical effect.There are, <strong>of</strong> course, additional <strong>in</strong>dustries which are illegal per se <strong>and</strong> whichconsequently do not appear <strong>in</strong> our <strong>of</strong>ficial accounts. Prostitution <strong>and</strong> dope smuggl<strong>in</strong>gboth support significant <strong>in</strong>dustries with many people employed. Normallythey are not <strong>in</strong>cluded <strong>in</strong> our accounts. I am not argu<strong>in</strong>g that they should be. Thereare also other crimes which are nonproductive, but which <strong>in</strong>volve <strong>in</strong>vestment <strong>of</strong>labor <strong>and</strong> resources, bank robbery for example. They also are not <strong>in</strong>cluded <strong>in</strong> ournational <strong>in</strong>come accounts. All <strong>of</strong> this is not <strong>in</strong>tended as a criticism <strong>of</strong> our account<strong>in</strong>g

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