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Money and Markets: Essays in Honor of Leland B. Yeager

Money and Markets: Essays in Honor of Leland B. Yeager

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68 Steven B. Caudillvariable he discussed was the average altitude <strong>of</strong> the state. The higher the altitude,the more difficult to leave, <strong>and</strong> difficulty leav<strong>in</strong>g implied more monopoly power, orso we were told. One has visions <strong>of</strong> people stuck on mounta<strong>in</strong>s be<strong>in</strong>g taxed to death.An alternative view is that the high altitude would make it easier to leave a state –one could simply coast downhill to lower taxes. My relatives <strong>in</strong> Eastern Kentuckywould probably agree with this higher altitude–less monopoly power effect, but foran entirely different reason. The terra<strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong> Eastern Kentucky is hilly which, <strong>in</strong> thepast, has made it difficult <strong>and</strong> dangerous for “revenuers” to come around.These comments are not meant to suggest that I took this altitude variableseriously. My reactions were surprise <strong>and</strong> amusement. As I was seated near themiddle <strong>of</strong> the room, I began look<strong>in</strong>g over my left shoulder, then my right shoulderto see whether the audience or the presenter would snicker <strong>and</strong> let me <strong>in</strong> on thejoke. Neither the audience nor the presenter snickered, so I concluded that this wasto be taken as serious economics. I waited <strong>and</strong> hoped someone would call this joke<strong>of</strong>f, but the presenter calmly began discuss<strong>in</strong>g the next explanatory variable, “I also<strong>in</strong>clude the diameter <strong>of</strong> the smallest circle that can be drawn around the state.”This was too much. Is this really empirical research? Sadly, most <strong>of</strong> the audience satbusily writ<strong>in</strong>g the names <strong>of</strong> two new proxy variables to use <strong>in</strong> their regressionmodels, just <strong>in</strong> case their other proxies failed to produce.The empirical research just described is but one example <strong>of</strong> a “bad regression”which is all too typical <strong>of</strong> the approach to empirical research found <strong>in</strong> public choice<strong>and</strong> the sociology <strong>of</strong> economics. Although the empirical research <strong>in</strong> public choice <strong>and</strong>the sociology <strong>of</strong> economics are similar, these areas differ <strong>in</strong> how the research papersare constructed. Public choice is a field <strong>in</strong> economics based on economic theories<strong>and</strong> pr<strong>in</strong>ciples. A typical public choice empirical paper has a theory sectionfollowed by an empirical section. The sociology <strong>of</strong> economics is the study <strong>of</strong>economists – how we write, how we work, how we do what we do. Papers <strong>in</strong> thisarea do not have theory sections, although authors may try to disguise this fact byus<strong>in</strong>g economic language <strong>in</strong> place <strong>of</strong> theory. Without theory, empirical work <strong>in</strong> thesociology <strong>of</strong> economics is reduced to be<strong>in</strong>g descriptive <strong>in</strong> nature.This paper represents an attempt to characterize the PC approach to empiricalresearch <strong>and</strong> to show that “bad regressions” are a consequence <strong>of</strong> this approach.Several solutions to the problem <strong>of</strong> bad regressions are discussed <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g: (1)omitt<strong>in</strong>g the empirical work from the paper; (2) requir<strong>in</strong>g that data sets used <strong>in</strong> thepapers be made publicly available; (3) reward<strong>in</strong>g research work on the construction<strong>of</strong> proxy variables <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>dices; <strong>and</strong> (4) rem<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>g those <strong>in</strong> the pr<strong>of</strong>ession <strong>in</strong> theirroles as educators <strong>and</strong> referees to dem<strong>and</strong> improvements <strong>in</strong> the quality <strong>of</strong> empiricalwork <strong>and</strong> to stop publish<strong>in</strong>g papers until the quality is improved.Why empirical research?First, let us establish the uses <strong>of</strong> empirical research. Econometricians <strong>of</strong>fer thesethoughts on the goals <strong>of</strong> empirical research:the entire body <strong>of</strong> economic theory can be regarded as a collection <strong>of</strong> relations

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