13.07.2015 Views

Money and Markets: Essays in Honor of Leland B. Yeager

Money and Markets: Essays in Honor of Leland B. Yeager

Money and Markets: Essays in Honor of Leland B. Yeager

SHOW MORE
SHOW LESS

Create successful ePaper yourself

Turn your PDF publications into a flip-book with our unique Google optimized e-Paper software.

Reflections on reswitch<strong>in</strong>g <strong>and</strong> roundaboutness 203<strong>in</strong>jection. The Q = f (K, L) <strong>of</strong> the post-<strong>in</strong>jection equilibrium is the same Q = f (K, L)that characterized the pre-<strong>in</strong>jection equilibrium.A very different conclusion emerges if the effects <strong>of</strong> the <strong>in</strong>creased money supplyare tracked by the loanable-funds theory rather than by the quantity theory. Themonetary <strong>in</strong>jection <strong>in</strong>creases the supply <strong>of</strong> loanable funds <strong>and</strong> hence lowers the rate<strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>terest. The amount <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>vestment funds dem<strong>and</strong>ed <strong>in</strong>creases, especially <strong>in</strong> theearly stages <strong>of</strong> production. But with no change <strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong>tertemporal preferences, theamount <strong>of</strong> sav<strong>in</strong>g actually decreases – <strong>in</strong> response to the lower rate <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>terest.(Savers move down along an unshifted supply curve.) And less sav<strong>in</strong>g, <strong>of</strong> course,means correspond<strong>in</strong>gly greater dem<strong>and</strong>s for current consumption. The marketprocess that allocates resources with<strong>in</strong> the economy’s capital structure is at warwith itself. The chang<strong>in</strong>g pattern <strong>of</strong> resource allocation, which entails an <strong>in</strong>creasedcommitment to serv<strong>in</strong>g future dem<strong>and</strong>s while also accommodat<strong>in</strong>g currentdem<strong>and</strong>s, is <strong>in</strong>herently unsusta<strong>in</strong>able. The eventual – <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>evitable – reversal <strong>of</strong>the capital restructur<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> the face <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>gly b<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>g resource constra<strong>in</strong>ts isanyth<strong>in</strong>g but a side show. Given the heterogeneity <strong>of</strong> capital <strong>and</strong> the durability <strong>and</strong>specificity <strong>of</strong> some early-stage capital, the policy-<strong>in</strong>duced boom <strong>and</strong> subsequentbust can leave the economy’s productive capacity well below its pre-<strong>in</strong>jection level.The distorted Q = f (K’, L) does not morph back to the orig<strong>in</strong>al Q = f (K, L) <strong>in</strong> a timelyfashion. The long run <strong>in</strong> which the orig<strong>in</strong>al structure recreates itself on the basis <strong>of</strong>actual <strong>in</strong>tertemporal preferences may be long <strong>in</strong>deed.Choos<strong>in</strong>g among frameworksAs it turns out, the neoclassical production function is condemned by both Cambridge,UK <strong>and</strong> the Austrians – but for very different reasons. The Cantabrigianscondemn a blend <strong>of</strong> neoclassical <strong>and</strong> Austrian ideas. They <strong>in</strong>sist on a physicallydef<strong>in</strong>ed capital <strong>in</strong>put <strong>and</strong> then argue that potentially anomalous changes <strong>in</strong> the<strong>in</strong>terest rate <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong> the degree <strong>of</strong> roundaboutness underm<strong>in</strong>e the logic <strong>of</strong> the neoclassicalproduction function. The Austrians, who <strong>in</strong>sist that the capital <strong>in</strong>put has avalue dimension, hold to the claim that the degree <strong>of</strong> roundaboutness <strong>and</strong> the rate<strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>terest are <strong>in</strong>versely related. They are not moved by counterexamples <strong>in</strong>volv<strong>in</strong>ga physically def<strong>in</strong>ed capital <strong>in</strong>put. A reduction <strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong>terest rate <strong>in</strong>creases the dem<strong>and</strong>price for early-stage capital. But quite <strong>in</strong>dependent <strong>of</strong> the potential for techniquereswitch<strong>in</strong>g, which F.A. Hayek recognized early on (Hayek 1941: 76–7, 140–5,191–2, <strong>and</strong> passim), the Austrians are critical <strong>of</strong> the neoclassicals for compress<strong>in</strong>gthe temporally def<strong>in</strong>ed stages <strong>of</strong> capital <strong>in</strong>to an all-<strong>in</strong>clusive K <strong>and</strong> hence conceal<strong>in</strong>gthe differential changes <strong>in</strong> capital values. The charge that Hayek (1931a: 277)leveled aga<strong>in</strong>st John Maynard Keynes applies equally well to the neoclassicals:“[Their] aggregates conceal the most fundamental mechanisms <strong>of</strong> change.”F<strong>in</strong>ally, it can be noted that the action item announced boldly by Cohen <strong>and</strong>Harcourt – a return to Ricardo <strong>and</strong> Sraffa’s classical way <strong>of</strong> th<strong>in</strong>k<strong>in</strong>g – comes asno news to the Austrians. Ludwig Lachmann (1986: 227) saw the general thrust <strong>of</strong>the Cohen–Harcourt message <strong>in</strong> an early article by Sraffa: “With benefit <strong>of</strong> h<strong>in</strong>dsightwe are now able to underst<strong>and</strong> that Sraffa’s [1932] critique <strong>of</strong> Hayek’s book

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!