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oundtable • non-claimant perspectives on the south china sea<br />

profound an interest as any country in the avoidance of armed conflict<br />

or escalation. Australian policy on the South China Sea consistently<br />

calls for restraint on all sides. Australia is understandably seeking to<br />

build a reasonable security relationship with China, alongside its massive<br />

economic one, and it is not in Australia’s interests to be gratuitous,<br />

needlessly provocative, or entirely insensitive to how China defines its<br />

own interests in the South China Sea. Canberra does not take sides on the<br />

territorial claims and has been an advocate of practical confidence-building<br />

measures, transparency, and dialogue, including in ASEAN-centric<br />

forums such as the East Asia Summit.<br />

At the start of 2016, as China’s island-building moves to completion<br />

and with no rules-based solution to the South China Sea tensions in<br />

sight, the limits of a mostly declaratory policy approach by countries such<br />

as Australia have been made plain. A series of speeches and statements<br />

by ministers and officials throughout 2015 suggested that Australia was<br />

firming up its South China Sea policy. Following the publicized activity of<br />

the destroyer USS Lassen in October 2015, Canberra openly supported the<br />

U.S. policy of conducting freedom of navigation operations. 16 Intriguingly,<br />

it then came to light that Australia was quietly continuing to conduct its<br />

own activities to assert its rights of freedom of navigation in the South<br />

China Sea, or more specifically of overflight. In December 2015, a BBC<br />

journalist intercepted and broadcast radio communications from an<br />

Australian P-3 Orion maritime surveillance aircraft telling Chinese forces<br />

the plane was exercising rights under international law. Australian media<br />

reports suggested that the tempo of these flights had increased as a sign<br />

to Beijing that Australia did not accept claims to maritime territory or<br />

authority supposedly generated by China’s artificial islands. 17<br />

What Lies Ahead: Choices and Costs<br />

The question arises, what else is Australia likely or prepared to<br />

do to protect its interests in response to China’s behavior in the South<br />

China Sea? There had been some initial speculation that the moderate<br />

conservative government of Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull, who<br />

replaced the markedly right-wing Tony Abbott in September 2015, would<br />

16 Shalailah Medhora, “Australia Strongly Supports U.S. Activity in South China Sea, Says Marise<br />

Payne,” Guardian, October 27, 2015.<br />

17 David Wroe and Philip Wen, “South China Sea: Australia Steps Up Air Patrols in Defiance of<br />

Beijing,” Sydney Morning Herald, December 15 2015.<br />

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