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oundtable • non-claimant perspectives on the south china sea<br />

ASEAN’s Stakes:<br />

The South China Sea’s Challenge to Autonomy and Agency<br />

Alice D. Ba<br />

The South China Sea has come to involve important stakes for all<br />

involved. The Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) is no<br />

different—though its situation is also notably distinct. The South China<br />

Sea occupies what Michael Leifer once characterized as the geographic<br />

“heart of Southeast Asia.” 1 Geography alone means that whatever happens<br />

in the South China Sea affects ASEAN states the most directly. Moreover,<br />

as smaller powers, these states confront much greater vulnerabilities<br />

when it comes to great-power demands, even as they may be particular<br />

beneficiaries of great-power association. China’s activities in the South<br />

China Sea have no doubt underscored these dilemmas as the ASEAN<br />

states all try to navigate between the strategic vulnerabilities and the<br />

economic opportunities associated with a rising, more confident China.<br />

Nor are ASEAN states’ great-power dilemmas limited to China: the<br />

latter’s activities in the South China Sea have also precipitated heightened<br />

attention from the United States. ASEAN’s challenge is thus compounded<br />

by the fact that the South China Sea has become an important focal point<br />

of rivalry and tension between the ASEAN region’s two most important<br />

great-power relationships. Maintaining a space between China and<br />

the United States—one in which Southeast Asian states can enjoy some<br />

range of maneuver and choice—may prove to be the greatest challenge<br />

confronting the ASEAN region.<br />

This essay considers what is at stake in the South China Sea disputes<br />

for ASEAN’s coalition of smaller powers, with special attention paid to<br />

institutional interests and constraints. It considers not only the more<br />

immediate challenges created by territorial disputes but also the more<br />

general great-power dilemmas that heightened tensions have recently<br />

thrown into sharp relief.<br />

alice d. ba is an Associate Professor in the Department of Political Science and International<br />

Relations at the University of Delaware. She can be reached at .<br />

1 Michael Leifer, The ASEAN Regional Forum (Oxford: Oxford University Press, 1996), 9.<br />

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