08.04.2019 Views

atw - International Journal for Nuclear Power | 04.2019

You also want an ePaper? Increase the reach of your titles

YUMPU automatically turns print PDFs into web optimized ePapers that Google loves.

<strong>atw</strong> Vol. 64 (2019) | Issue 4 ı April<br />

to be built worldwide by 2040. Up to two thirds of the new<br />

construction will be plants based on renewable energies,<br />

with 20 % being gas and 10 % coal capacities (Figure 13).<br />

By 2040, it is expected that around half of the world’s<br />

electricity demand will still be provided by fossil-fired<br />

power plants. According to the New Policies Scenario of<br />

the IEA, in 2040, coal, oil and natural gas will still contribute<br />

75 % to the coverage of primary energy consumption.<br />

In addition, primary energy consumption will increase by<br />

about 25 % by 2040, and the demand <strong>for</strong> electricity is<br />

expected to grow by even more than 50 % compared to<br />

2017. If this development is realized, then in absolute<br />

terms at least the same amount of fossil fuels will be used<br />

in 2040 as in 2017, both to cover the total primary energy<br />

consumption and also <strong>for</strong> power generation.<br />

There<strong>for</strong>e, to comply with the ambitious climate goals<br />

of the Paris Agreement, broad implementation of the<br />

technology <strong>for</strong> capturing and utilizing or storing CO 2 is<br />

indispensable, in both industrial processes and also in<br />

power generation. At the Global Summit on Carbon<br />

Capture, Utilization and Storage (CCUS) in Edinburgh on<br />

28 November 2018, the General Secretary of the IEA, Fatih<br />

Birol, said: “Without CCUS as part of the solution, reaching<br />

our international climate goals is practically impossible.”<br />

[9]<br />

The World Energy Council (London) will present new<br />

energy scenarios on the global energy supply prospects at<br />

the World Energy Congress, which will be held in Abu<br />

Dhabi from 9 to 12 September 2019. The central theme of<br />

the congress, which is expected to attract several thousand<br />

participants, is Energy <strong>for</strong> Prosperity.<br />

Strategy of the Federal Government –<br />

Conclusion<br />

The climate protection policy promises the greatest success<br />

if the instruments are selected in such a way that priority is<br />

given to the most cost-effective approaches of reducing<br />

greenhouse gas emissions. The European Greenhouse Gas<br />

Emissions Trading Scheme is a market-based instrument<br />

which, in principle, ensures this EU-wide <strong>for</strong> the sectors it<br />

covers, energy and industry. However, technology bans,<br />

such as the legal provision existing in Germany preventing<br />

the capture and storage of CO 2 , are restrictions that<br />

contradict this alignment. This makes climate protection<br />

more expensive, which worsens the prospects of other<br />

countries joining Germany in its ambitious approach to<br />

reducing greenhouse gases.<br />

Author<br />

Dr. Hans-Wilhelm Schiffer<br />

Executive Chair World Energy Resources,<br />

World Energy Council<br />

London, United Kingdom<br />

| | Fig. 10.<br />

Static range of non-renewable energy reserves in years.<br />

| | Fig. 11.<br />

Drivers <strong>for</strong> investment in worldwide energy supply in trillion (10 12 ) USD (2017).<br />

| | Fig. 12.<br />

Global electricity generation up to 2040 in terawat thours (10 12 watt hours).<br />

FEATURE | MAJOR TRENDS IN ENERGY POLICY AND NUCLEAR POWER 195<br />

| | Fig. 13.<br />

Global new build electricity generation capacities according to IEA's New Policies Scenario, 2018 to 2040.<br />

Feature<br />

The Role of Resources and Reserves <strong>for</strong> the Global Energy Supply ı Hans-Wilhelm Schiffer

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!