atw - International Journal for Nuclear Power | 04.2019
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<strong>atw</strong> Vol. 64 (2019) | Issue 4 ı April<br />
to be built worldwide by 2040. Up to two thirds of the new<br />
construction will be plants based on renewable energies,<br />
with 20 % being gas and 10 % coal capacities (Figure 13).<br />
By 2040, it is expected that around half of the world’s<br />
electricity demand will still be provided by fossil-fired<br />
power plants. According to the New Policies Scenario of<br />
the IEA, in 2040, coal, oil and natural gas will still contribute<br />
75 % to the coverage of primary energy consumption.<br />
In addition, primary energy consumption will increase by<br />
about 25 % by 2040, and the demand <strong>for</strong> electricity is<br />
expected to grow by even more than 50 % compared to<br />
2017. If this development is realized, then in absolute<br />
terms at least the same amount of fossil fuels will be used<br />
in 2040 as in 2017, both to cover the total primary energy<br />
consumption and also <strong>for</strong> power generation.<br />
There<strong>for</strong>e, to comply with the ambitious climate goals<br />
of the Paris Agreement, broad implementation of the<br />
technology <strong>for</strong> capturing and utilizing or storing CO 2 is<br />
indispensable, in both industrial processes and also in<br />
power generation. At the Global Summit on Carbon<br />
Capture, Utilization and Storage (CCUS) in Edinburgh on<br />
28 November 2018, the General Secretary of the IEA, Fatih<br />
Birol, said: “Without CCUS as part of the solution, reaching<br />
our international climate goals is practically impossible.”<br />
[9]<br />
The World Energy Council (London) will present new<br />
energy scenarios on the global energy supply prospects at<br />
the World Energy Congress, which will be held in Abu<br />
Dhabi from 9 to 12 September 2019. The central theme of<br />
the congress, which is expected to attract several thousand<br />
participants, is Energy <strong>for</strong> Prosperity.<br />
Strategy of the Federal Government –<br />
Conclusion<br />
The climate protection policy promises the greatest success<br />
if the instruments are selected in such a way that priority is<br />
given to the most cost-effective approaches of reducing<br />
greenhouse gas emissions. The European Greenhouse Gas<br />
Emissions Trading Scheme is a market-based instrument<br />
which, in principle, ensures this EU-wide <strong>for</strong> the sectors it<br />
covers, energy and industry. However, technology bans,<br />
such as the legal provision existing in Germany preventing<br />
the capture and storage of CO 2 , are restrictions that<br />
contradict this alignment. This makes climate protection<br />
more expensive, which worsens the prospects of other<br />
countries joining Germany in its ambitious approach to<br />
reducing greenhouse gases.<br />
Author<br />
Dr. Hans-Wilhelm Schiffer<br />
Executive Chair World Energy Resources,<br />
World Energy Council<br />
London, United Kingdom<br />
| | Fig. 10.<br />
Static range of non-renewable energy reserves in years.<br />
| | Fig. 11.<br />
Drivers <strong>for</strong> investment in worldwide energy supply in trillion (10 12 ) USD (2017).<br />
| | Fig. 12.<br />
Global electricity generation up to 2040 in terawat thours (10 12 watt hours).<br />
FEATURE | MAJOR TRENDS IN ENERGY POLICY AND NUCLEAR POWER 195<br />
| | Fig. 13.<br />
Global new build electricity generation capacities according to IEA's New Policies Scenario, 2018 to 2040.<br />
Feature<br />
The Role of Resources and Reserves <strong>for</strong> the Global Energy Supply ı Hans-Wilhelm Schiffer