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-2J<br />

Access to a road (or good sea access) to a market becomes of crucial importance.<br />

Throughout the Pacific Islands rural to fural migration has been Lakinq place for many<br />

decadis - towards the coast, towards roads, towards areas with reserves of land better suited<br />

f or long-term comrnercial f anming, and especially to such areas in the vicinity of urban<br />

markets. Areas which 50 or even 20 years ago were perfectly able to sustain people in a<br />

dominantly self -production self -consumption economy are no lonqer attractive to many and<br />

people drift away to what are seen as better located areas. Isolation, dislance from market'<br />

or small size (and hence lack of commercial prospects) all reduce the relative attraction.<br />

The trends which I have described have been evident in countries like Fiji and Western<br />

Samoa fon l0 or more years. Elsewhere they are not as fully developed. lt is possible that<br />

they could be reversed in some areas, but I doubt if they will be. I believe lhat the<br />

incorporatio.n of the Pacific Islands into Lhe wonld's economic system has gone so far in most<br />

island counlries that the trends wilt not be slowed or reversed - especially because it is not<br />

in the shorter term interests of many, including the leadership, to do so. Under precontact<br />

economic systems the short- and the long-Lerm interest.s of individuals and community - the<br />

private and the public good - generally coincided in the mainlenance of socio-economic<br />

sys!ems. This is no longer-the casl - short-term interest for individuals and government often<br />

lies in moving into the dominantly commencial secLor even if Lhis is inimical to the long-term<br />

inLerest of the community or the environment.<br />

Can the village mixed sJbsistence-cash crop agriculture system be maintained? As a<br />

long-term strategy [hir t"urr a desirable goal. It would provide the security derived from<br />

g.oiuing most of oners own food and also the cash required for necessities and luxuries which<br />

must bL purchased. Personally I doubt if this mixed system will be favoured in the larger<br />

island states in the medium term. This is not only because of the conflicts wiLhin it, between<br />

wages and reciprocity, but also because of lhe alternalives which many islanders have.<br />

To be successful mixed subsistence-cash cnop agriculture must offer neturns in casht<br />

security and welfare which are perceived as comparable to those of wage employment itt<br />

government service, or in the urban privaLe sector. With a few exceptions, the majority of<br />

iittage farmers do not achieve cash incomes which are seen as comparable. Even if the value<br />

of goods produced for o,vn consumption is calculated realistically' lhe fact that cash can be<br />

ur"i fo. I0l purchases, ngt just food, discounts the subsistence production in the minds of<br />

many. Furthermore, export crop prices fluctuate widely. Pacific Island producers cannot<br />

influence the world prices - they are inevitably price takers. Small producers of coprat<br />

eoffee or eocoa are very aware of the insecurity of their markets and cash income. Urbant<br />

and especially government jobs, are seen as more secure - and certainly involve less ttard<br />

manual labour in the hot 2n. Labour and wage legislation tends to increase the relative<br />

securiIy of wage employmenl. Another alternative for Cook lslanders, Samoens, Niueans and'<br />

to a degree, Tongans, is migration to and employment in New Zealand, the United Slates andt<br />

for a lew, Australia. The caeh earnings there (or even unemployment benef its)' the<br />

educational opportunities for children and the other attraciions of metropolitan life mean<br />

that the qportunity cost of village agniculture is often high. I believe village and smallholder<br />

agriculture will become steadily rnore commercial, the slructure of society will continue to<br />

change, and change more rapidly, and inLernal and intefnational migration to lowns increase.<br />

Small-holder production systems<br />

None of lhis means that plantations need become the main form of production. There<br />

are strategies which will permit a smallholder produetion system to provide reasonable cash<br />

incomes, plus the opportunily for some subsistence production if the farmer chooses to<br />

engage in this as well. The Fiii zugar industry provides one model. This smallholder system<br />

frai been remarkably successful for over 50 years even though it is geared to a demanding<br />

market.. The key to this success lies not in the smallholder pnoducLion system' but rather in<br />

the manner in which the provision of essential inputs, and the harvesting and merketing of<br />

the crop, €re menaged. The millers control the cutting, transpor!, and processing of the cane.<br />

They import fertilizer in bulk and distribute it to farmers at near cost. They undertake<br />

nesearch to develop new high yielding cane varieties, tolerant of infertile soils' and disease<br />

resistant. The bulking up and distribution of the new varieties is also a miller's task. The end<br />

result is lhat many of the advantages of large scale in operations which a plantation can<br />

internalize, are made available bo the smallholden.

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