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Equality, Participation, Transition: Essays in Honour of Branko Horvat

Equality, Participation, Transition: Essays in Honour of Branko Horvat

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70 Determ<strong>in</strong>ants <strong>of</strong> Income Inequality<br />

countries. Recent literature on the l<strong>in</strong>k between economic growth and<br />

political economy (for example, Ales<strong>in</strong>a and Rodrik, 1994; Perotti,<br />

1991 and 1992; Persson and Tabell<strong>in</strong>i, 1992) argues that the size <strong>of</strong><br />

transfers is determ<strong>in</strong>ed by the political process: <strong>in</strong> short, by the ga<strong>in</strong><br />

that the median voter expects from redistribution. Thus, the population<br />

<strong>in</strong> countries <strong>in</strong> which assets are highly unequally distributed and<br />

<strong>in</strong> which, consequently, <strong>in</strong>equality <strong>in</strong> orig<strong>in</strong>al <strong>in</strong>come is high, will<br />

have an <strong>in</strong>terest to vote for large social transfers. To the extent that<br />

transfers reduce the <strong>in</strong>centive to accumulate wealth and to work hard,<br />

either economic growth will be slow or democracy will be impossible<br />

to achieve. The dilemma, familiar from the 19th century Europe, was<br />

eloquently summarized by the Spanish statesman Canovas del Castillo:<br />

rebutt<strong>in</strong>g those who compla<strong>in</strong>ed about electoral fraud, he wrote: ‘To<br />

have to choose between the permanent falsification <strong>of</strong> universal suffrage<br />

and its abolition is not to have to choose between universal suffrage<br />

and preservation <strong>of</strong> property’ (quoted <strong>in</strong> Ubieto et al., 1972: 731).<br />

But if a country’s assets are relatively widely distributed and marketgenerated<br />

<strong>in</strong>equality is moderate, then large, particularly cash, transfers<br />

are not needed. Fast growth becomes compatible with democracy (as<br />

the median voter does not have an <strong>in</strong>terest to vote for high taxes) and<br />

relatively equal distribution <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>come.<br />

Annex – some data issues<br />

In large cross-sectional analyses, the data – because <strong>of</strong> differences <strong>in</strong><br />

coverage, def<strong>in</strong>itions, and sources – represent a particular problem. It is<br />

therefore important to discuss them <strong>in</strong> some detail. Income distribution<br />

data are generally thought to be among the least reliable types <strong>of</strong><br />

macroeconomic data. The problems that h<strong>in</strong>der comparability are<br />

numerous. The most frequently mentioned are the follow<strong>in</strong>g: How representative<br />

are household surveys, on the basis <strong>of</strong> which <strong>in</strong>come<br />

<strong>in</strong>equality is estimated? What is the type <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>come (orig<strong>in</strong>al, gross, or<br />

disposable)? Who are the recipients (households, families or <strong>in</strong>dividuals)?<br />

How are they ranked (by total household <strong>in</strong>come or by household<br />

per capita <strong>in</strong>come or by equivalent household <strong>in</strong>come)? In my Annex<br />

Table 3 (not reproduced here), 31 I have <strong>in</strong>dicated exactly the type <strong>of</strong><br />

<strong>in</strong>come and recipient from which the G<strong>in</strong>i coefficients are calculated.<br />

A general requirement, satisfied for all the countries, was tw<strong>of</strong>old: the<br />

data should be derived from household surveys, and the surveys<br />

should be nationally representative.

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