Equality, Participation, Transition: Essays in Honour of Branko Horvat
Equality, Participation, Transition: Essays in Honour of Branko Horvat
Equality, Participation, Transition: Essays in Honour of Branko Horvat
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Ivo Bićanić 193<br />
variables lead to transitionary changes <strong>in</strong> growth rates. For example, an<br />
<strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> sav<strong>in</strong>g rates does lead to a spurt <strong>of</strong> growth but it does not<br />
change the steady state growth rate.<br />
The stability <strong>of</strong> this steady state growth is fundamental to this<br />
approach because it implies all deviations are transitory, namely that<br />
economies will converge to this path regardless <strong>of</strong> their <strong>in</strong>itial position<br />
(and eventually reach it), which makes for both stability and optimism.<br />
Optimism is further strengthened by the convergency properties <strong>of</strong><br />
the model. The same assumptions about technology (encapsulated <strong>in</strong><br />
well-behaved production functions with Harrod neutral labour augment<strong>in</strong>g<br />
technical progress) which generate one steady state path and<br />
stability also generate <strong>in</strong>terest<strong>in</strong>g convergency properties. Namely, the<br />
further any <strong>in</strong>dividual economy is from its steady state path the higher<br />
its growth rate will be. The convergency properties are part <strong>of</strong> the<br />
strong version <strong>of</strong> the Neoclassical Solow-Swann model drawn <strong>in</strong> panel<br />
(a) <strong>of</strong> Figure 11.1. Time is on the horizontal axis and growth rates on<br />
the vertical one (steeper paths imply higher growth rates). The steady<br />
state growth path is given by the thick l<strong>in</strong>e and the growth path <strong>of</strong><br />
<strong>in</strong>dividual economies by the th<strong>in</strong> l<strong>in</strong>es. The th<strong>in</strong> l<strong>in</strong>es converge to the<br />
steady state growth path with reduced steepness, imply<strong>in</strong>g fall<strong>in</strong>g<br />
growth rates the closer they are to the thick l<strong>in</strong>e. The f<strong>in</strong>al optimism<br />
<strong>of</strong> the Neoclassical Solow-Swann model is that models can converge<br />
only from below, and optimiz<strong>in</strong>g Ramsey households guarantee that<br />
property.<br />
In its strongest version, the Neoclassical Solow-Swann model assumes<br />
a common technology (production function) and common parameters<br />
which generate the steady state growth path and absolute convergency.<br />
Translated <strong>in</strong>to an econometrically testable form, the rate <strong>of</strong> convergency<br />
was 2 per cent <strong>of</strong> the distance from the steady state path (see standard<br />
Neoclassical growth textbook Barro and Sala-I-Mart<strong>in</strong>, 1995; and for<br />
an extensive discussion on convergence Sala-I-Mart<strong>in</strong>, 1996). Economies<br />
more distant from this path had higher growth rates and quicker convergence<br />
speeds so that the speed <strong>of</strong> convergence decreased over time.<br />
A weaker version <strong>of</strong> the Neoclassical Solow-Swann model had to be<br />
<strong>in</strong>troduced to deal with the complexities <strong>of</strong> the real world and answer<br />
some <strong>of</strong> the criticisms leveled at the model <strong>in</strong> the 1980s. However, the<br />
ma<strong>in</strong> assumptions (well-behaved production functions and perfect<br />
competition, pr<strong>of</strong>it maximiz<strong>in</strong>g firms, welfare maximiz<strong>in</strong>g households<br />
as well as exogenous growth rates <strong>of</strong> population and labour augment<strong>in</strong>g<br />
technical progress) were reta<strong>in</strong>ed, and with it, the model’s ma<strong>in</strong> features.<br />
For the current discussion an important novelty was the variation