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PRINCIPLES OF TOXICOLOGY

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482 EXAMPLE <strong>OF</strong> RISK ASSESSMENT APPLICATIONS<br />

PbBfetal,0.95 = GSDi 1.645 × (PbS × BKSF × IRS × EFS)<br />

+ PbBadult,0 × Rfetal / maternal<br />

AT<br />

where PbBfetal,0.95 = The 95th percentile blood lead concentration for fetuses born to<br />

women similarly exposed to lead in dust. This lead concentration<br />

indicates that the likelihood of a greater blood lead concentration<br />

is 5 percent. The 95th percentile is often used as a regulatory target<br />

by USEPA.<br />

GSDi 1.645 = Individual geometric standard deviation for the variability in lead<br />

exposure and absorption. The value of 1.645 is the t value used to<br />

calculate the 95th percentile from a lognormal blood lead distribution.<br />

The USEPA recommends a value of 1.8 for the GSD in a<br />

fairly homogenous population.<br />

PbS = Soil or dust lead concentration in µg/g.<br />

BKSF = Biokinetic slope factor increased in typical adult blood lead concentration<br />

to average daily lead uptake (µg/dL blood lead increase<br />

per µg/day lead uptake). The BKSF obtained from reliable<br />

human studies is 0.4 µg/dL per µg/day.<br />

IRS = Daily intake of soil or dust. The USEPA recommends 0.05 g/day<br />

as a typical value.<br />

AFS = Absorbed fraction of lead in dust from the gastrointestinal tract.<br />

The USEPA recommended value for the fraction of lead in soil or<br />

dust released from the gastrointestinal tract and absorbed is 0.12.<br />

EFS = Exposure frequency for contact with lead in dust. The USEPA recommends<br />

a typical value of 219 days/year.<br />

AT = Total period over which dust exposure occurs. This value is typically<br />

assumed to be 365 days/year.<br />

PbBadult,0 = Background blood lead concentration for women of child-bearing<br />

age. A representative value is 2.0 µg/dL.<br />

Rfetal/maternal = Ratio of fetal blood lead concentration to the maternal blood lead<br />

concentration at birth. The value typically assumed by USEPA is<br />

0.9.<br />

Assume that workers employed as furniture refinishers may ingest lead in dust during a particular<br />

phase of the operation for 3 days a week (approximately 150 days/year). Sampling of the lead-contaminated<br />

dust indicates an average lead concentration of 1300 µg/g. What is the calculated 95th<br />

percentile blood lead concentration of a fetus of an exposed female worker? This calculation is<br />

illustrated below.<br />

PbBfetal,0.95 = 1.8 1.645 ×<br />

+ 2.0 µg / dL × 0.9<br />

(1300 µg / g × 0.4 µg / dL ⋅ g / day × 0.05 g / day × 0.12 × 150 days / year)<br />

365 days / year<br />

PbBfetal,0.95 = 7.8 µg/dL

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