[Sample B: Approval/Signature Sheet] - George Mason University

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An exponential SUF formula was used to fit a smooth curve to the points using the software LDW. The general formula used was: 110 U(x) = a + (be (-cX) ), where a, b, and c are computed scaling constants and e is the mathematical constant 2.718... Figure 28. Utility Function for the Attribute A3.4 – Range. A similar procedure was used to define the utilities for the constructed attributes, which are defined over a discrete scale. The variable probability method presents the DM 110 Gary R. Smith, Logical Decisions - User's Manual (Fairfax, VA: Little Booklets & Manuals, 2008), 9- 19. Utility 1 0 0 250 A3.4 Payload weight (x 1000 Lbs) 64
with the option to choose a lottery or a sure thing. 111 The attribute A2.3 Resolution will be used as an example (see fig. 29). 0.5 (p) L1≡ and 0.5 (1-p) Figure 29. Utility Assessment. In this gamble the DM is either offered the best level of resolution or the worst level of resolution, both with equal probability of 0.5. The sure thing in this example is the second best level of resolution (1m-4m). The DM is then asked to set the probabilities such that he would be indifferent between the gamble and the sure thing. In this particular example, the DM felt that the resolution range of 1 to 4 meters was pretty good and he decided to choose it, instead of accepting the gamble. This decision implied that his indifference probability lied between 0.5 and 0.99. After some more thought, he decided that he would be indifferent between the gamble and the sure offer if p was set to 0.80. 9m The same process was repeated for the remaining levels of this attribute and the utilities were defined according to figure 30. All the utility functions used in the value model can be found in Appendix 3. 111 Winterfeldt and Edwards, Decision Analysis and Behavioral Research, 241-243. 65 1m – 4m
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Comparing and Prioritizing Aircraft
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DISCLAIMER This work contains ficti
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TABLE OF CONTENTS Page List of Tabl
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LIST OF TABLES Table Page Table 1:
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Figure 36: Utilities for Cargo (CGO
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ABSTRACT COMPARING AND PRIORITIZING
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Figure 1. Map of South America. 5 R
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- according to recent estimates - c
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transportation to others organizati
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Jobim points out that the lack of r
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2.1 Systems Life Cycle in the BAF 2
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system. The generation of a POR con
Page 26 and 27: section (OPS) is subordinated to th
Page 28 and 29: According to Ralph Keeney, the stra
Page 30 and 31: 3. THEORETICAL FOUNDATIONS AND METH
Page 32 and 33: the alternatives under analysis. 3.
Page 34 and 35: exhaustive representation of the me
Page 36 and 37: is met but does not directly measur
Page 38 and 39: Winterfeldt and Edwards argue that
Page 40 and 41: Moreover, the shape of the utility
Page 42 and 43: described by Kirkwood. 66 The aggre
Page 44 and 45: Additive independence is a stronger
Page 46 and 47: The multiplicative utility function
Page 48 and 49: 4.1 Decision Support 4. MODEL CONST
Page 50 and 51: of the overarching objective of the
Page 52 and 53: Figure 9. Decision Frame with Funda
Page 54 and 55: Force Application Force Awareness A
Page 56 and 57: The following definitions were adop
Page 58 and 59: Engagement Attack precisely Attack
Page 60 and 61: different from engaging a target in
Page 62 and 63: Figure 19. Fundamental Objectives H
Page 64 and 65: capability to engage targets in the
Page 66 and 67: FORCE AWARENESS 2 DETECTION 2.1 INT
Page 68 and 69: 4.3.2 Assumptions As described befo
Page 70 and 71: Using the objectives hierarchy in f
Page 72 and 73: The next step was to verify the add
Page 74 and 75: was found to be utility independent
Page 78 and 79: 4.3.4 Assessing weights Utility Fig
Page 80 and 81: A2.4 Endurance ranged from 0 to 5,
Page 82 and 83: 5.1 Populating the Model 5. VALUE M
Page 84 and 85: to replace Helicopter B (HLB), whic
Page 86 and 87: OPERATIONAL CAPABILITY Utility for
Page 88 and 89: 1.000 Utility 0.000 Utility 1.000 0
Page 90 and 91: the information already provided by
Page 92 and 93: This type of analysis looks for poi
Page 94 and 95: The great variations in the utility
Page 96 and 97: Utility 0.560 0.000 0 100 Figure 42
Page 98 and 99: As before, the weights variations w
Page 100 and 101: used to check the effects of these
Page 102 and 103: The actual thresholds can be define
Page 104 and 105: 8. CONCLUSION Brazil is a huge coun
Page 106 and 107: Finally, this research intends to f
Page 108 and 109: 1.2 Maximize the survivability capa
Page 110 and 111: 4 Maximize the Force Support capabi
Page 112 and 113: A1.6 Scope See A1.2 A1.7 Scope See
Page 114 and 115: A 2.11 Capacity Amount of data that
Page 116 and 117: APPENDIX 3 UTILITY FUNCTIONS 1 Maxi
Page 118 and 119: 1 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0 1 0.8 0.6 0.4 0
Page 120 and 121: 1.2 Maximize the survivability capa
Page 122 and 123: 2.1.2 In the surface. 1 0.8 0.6 0.4
Page 124 and 125: Utility Figure A3.17 - A2.7 Coverag
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2.3.2 Using data 1 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2
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3.2 Maximize the airlift capability
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Utility 1 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0 1 0 0 2
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1Force Application 0.3208 2 Force A
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2 Force Awareness 0.3448 3 Force Mo
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3 Force Mobility 0.1724 4 Force Sup
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CARGO (CGO) Medium lift transport
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UNMANNED AERIAL VEHICLE (UAV) Medi
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South Atlantic scenario: National o
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2. Force Awareness Table A7-3. Syst
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APPENDIX 8 GLOSSARY anti-submarine
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econnaissance aircraft - aircraft e
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REFERENCES Bizzi, Luiz Augusto, Jo
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―IMINT - NIIRS National Image Int
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Winterfeldt, Detlof von, and Ralph
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[Sample B: Approval/Signature Sheet] - George Mason University

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