[Sample B: Approval/Signature Sheet] - George Mason University

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Utility 0.560 0.000 0 100 Figure 42. Weight Variation on Force Mobility. Finally, small variations in the weight of Force Support do not show any significant change in the results of the sensitivity analysis. The utilities of HLA and UAV vary exactly the same with the variations of weight on Force Support. The variations in the marginal contribution yielded by HLA are caused by the variations in the utility of HLB, which has some of its main capabilities linked to the Force Support fundamental objective (see fig. 43). ACFT Force Sup. (14.79%) Percent of Weight on Force Mobility Table 8. Variation of Weight on Force Support. ACFT Force Sup. (24.79%) 84 Cargo (CGO) Helicopter A (HLA) Fighter (FTR) Helicopter B (HLB) Anti-submarine (ASW) Unmanned (UAV) ACFT Force Sup. (4.79%) FTR 0.488 FTR 0.432 FTR 0.546 ASW 0.415 ASW 0.364 ASW 0.461 UAV 0.272 UAV 0.242 UAV 0.306 CGO 0.23 CGO 0.211 CGO 0.267 HLA 0.167 HLA 0.098 HLA 0.227
Figure 43. Weight Variation on Force Support. This first part of the analysis showed that the results are robust for most of the alternatives. The exception is related to the UAV and CGO aircraft systems, which showed some sensitivity to variations in the weights of Force Awareness and Force Mobility. Utility 0.574 0.000 0 100 6.2 Hypothetical Scenarios Percent of Weight on Force Support The second part of the sensitivity analysis proposes two simple hypothetical scenarios to check if significant changes occur in the ranking of the alternatives. The hypothetical DM was asked to change the weights of the fundamental objectives, according to his assessment of the scenario in hand. A short description of the proposed scenarios can be found in Appendix 6. 85 Helicopter B (HLB) Cargo (CGO) Anti-submarine (ASW) Fighter (FTR) Helicopter A (HLA) Unmanned (UAV)
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Comparing and Prioritizing Aircraft
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DISCLAIMER This work contains ficti
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TABLE OF CONTENTS Page List of Tabl
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LIST OF TABLES Table Page Table 1:
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Figure 36: Utilities for Cargo (CGO
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ABSTRACT COMPARING AND PRIORITIZING
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Figure 1. Map of South America. 5 R
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- according to recent estimates - c
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transportation to others organizati
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Jobim points out that the lack of r
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2.1 Systems Life Cycle in the BAF 2
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system. The generation of a POR con
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section (OPS) is subordinated to th
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According to Ralph Keeney, the stra
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3. THEORETICAL FOUNDATIONS AND METH
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the alternatives under analysis. 3.
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exhaustive representation of the me
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is met but does not directly measur
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Winterfeldt and Edwards argue that
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Moreover, the shape of the utility
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described by Kirkwood. 66 The aggre
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Additive independence is a stronger
Page 46 and 47: The multiplicative utility function
Page 48 and 49: 4.1 Decision Support 4. MODEL CONST
Page 50 and 51: of the overarching objective of the
Page 52 and 53: Figure 9. Decision Frame with Funda
Page 54 and 55: Force Application Force Awareness A
Page 56 and 57: The following definitions were adop
Page 58 and 59: Engagement Attack precisely Attack
Page 60 and 61: different from engaging a target in
Page 62 and 63: Figure 19. Fundamental Objectives H
Page 64 and 65: capability to engage targets in the
Page 66 and 67: FORCE AWARENESS 2 DETECTION 2.1 INT
Page 68 and 69: 4.3.2 Assumptions As described befo
Page 70 and 71: Using the objectives hierarchy in f
Page 72 and 73: The next step was to verify the add
Page 74 and 75: was found to be utility independent
Page 76 and 77: An exponential SUF formula was used
Page 78 and 79: 4.3.4 Assessing weights Utility Fig
Page 80 and 81: A2.4 Endurance ranged from 0 to 5,
Page 82 and 83: 5.1 Populating the Model 5. VALUE M
Page 84 and 85: to replace Helicopter B (HLB), whic
Page 86 and 87: OPERATIONAL CAPABILITY Utility for
Page 88 and 89: 1.000 Utility 0.000 Utility 1.000 0
Page 90 and 91: the information already provided by
Page 92 and 93: This type of analysis looks for poi
Page 94 and 95: The great variations in the utility
Page 98 and 99: As before, the weights variations w
Page 100 and 101: used to check the effects of these
Page 102 and 103: The actual thresholds can be define
Page 104 and 105: 8. CONCLUSION Brazil is a huge coun
Page 106 and 107: Finally, this research intends to f
Page 108 and 109: 1.2 Maximize the survivability capa
Page 110 and 111: 4 Maximize the Force Support capabi
Page 112 and 113: A1.6 Scope See A1.2 A1.7 Scope See
Page 114 and 115: A 2.11 Capacity Amount of data that
Page 116 and 117: APPENDIX 3 UTILITY FUNCTIONS 1 Maxi
Page 118 and 119: 1 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0 1 0.8 0.6 0.4 0
Page 120 and 121: 1.2 Maximize the survivability capa
Page 122 and 123: 2.1.2 In the surface. 1 0.8 0.6 0.4
Page 124 and 125: Utility Figure A3.17 - A2.7 Coverag
Page 126 and 127: 2.3.2 Using data 1 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2
Page 128 and 129: 3.2 Maximize the airlift capability
Page 130 and 131: Utility 1 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0 1 0 0 2
Page 132 and 133: 1Force Application 0.3208 2 Force A
Page 134 and 135: 2 Force Awareness 0.3448 3 Force Mo
Page 136 and 137: 3 Force Mobility 0.1724 4 Force Sup
Page 138 and 139: CARGO (CGO) Medium lift transport
Page 140 and 141: UNMANNED AERIAL VEHICLE (UAV) Medi
Page 142 and 143: South Atlantic scenario: National o
Page 144 and 145: 2. Force Awareness Table A7-3. Syst
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APPENDIX 8 GLOSSARY anti-submarine
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econnaissance aircraft - aircraft e
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REFERENCES Bizzi, Luiz Augusto, Jo
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―IMINT - NIIRS National Image Int
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Winterfeldt, Detlof von, and Ralph
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