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Regulation of Fuels and Fuel Additives: Renewable Fuel Standard ...

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U.S. during the spring <strong>of</strong> 2006. In order to accomplish this transition quickly, while still<br />

maintaining gasoline volume, octane, <strong>and</strong> gasoline air toxics performance st<strong>and</strong>ards,<br />

refiners elected to blend ethanol into virtually all reformulated gasoline nationwide. This<br />

caused a second dramatic increase in dem<strong>and</strong> for ethanol, which in the near term has been<br />

met by temporarily shifting large volumes <strong>of</strong> ethanol out <strong>of</strong> conventional gasoline <strong>and</strong><br />

into the RFG areas. Perhaps the largest impact on renewable fuel dem<strong>and</strong>, however, has<br />

been the dramatic increase in the cost <strong>of</strong> crude oil. In the last few years, both crude oil<br />

prices <strong>and</strong> crude oil price forecasts have increased dramatically. This has resulted in a<br />

large economic incentive for the use <strong>of</strong> ethanol <strong>and</strong> biodiesel. The Energy Information<br />

Administration (EIA) <strong>and</strong> others are currently projecting renewable fuel dem<strong>and</strong> to<br />

exceed the minimum volumes required under the RFS program by a substantial margin.<br />

In this context, the statutory goal <strong>of</strong> the RFS program is to provide an important<br />

foundation for ongoing investment in renewable fuel production. However, market<br />

dem<strong>and</strong> for renewable fuels is expected to exceed the statutory minimums. We believe<br />

we are proposing a program structure that could continue to operate effectively regardless<br />

<strong>of</strong> the level <strong>of</strong> renewable fuel use or market conditions in the energy sector.<br />

B. Requirements In The Energy Policy Act<br />

Section 1501 <strong>of</strong> the Energy Policy Act provides the statutory basis for the RFS<br />

program. This provision was added to the CAA as Section 211(o). It requires EPA to<br />

establish a program to ensure that the pool <strong>of</strong> gasoline sold in the contiguous 48 states<br />

contains specific volumes <strong>of</strong> renewable fuel for each calendar year starting with 2006.<br />

The required overall volumes for 2006 through 2012 are shown in Table I.B-1 below.<br />

Table I.B-1<br />

Applicable Volumes <strong>of</strong> <strong>Renewable</strong> <strong>Fuel</strong> Under the RFS Program<br />

Calendar year Billion gallons<br />

2006<br />

2007<br />

2008<br />

2009<br />

2010<br />

2011<br />

2012<br />

In order to ensure the use <strong>of</strong> the total renewable fuel volume specified for each<br />

year, the Agency must set a st<strong>and</strong>ard for each year representing the amount <strong>of</strong> renewable<br />

fuel that a refiner, blender, or importer must use, expressed as a percentage <strong>of</strong> gasoline<br />

sold or introduced into commerce. This yearly percentage st<strong>and</strong>ard is to be set at a level<br />

that will ensure that the total renewable fuel volumes shown in Table I.B-1 will be used<br />

based on gasoline volume projections provided by the Energy Information<br />

Administration (EIA). The st<strong>and</strong>ard for each year must be published in the Federal<br />

Register by November 30 <strong>of</strong> the previous year. Starting with 2013, EPA is required to<br />

4.0<br />

4.7<br />

5.4<br />

6.1<br />

6.8<br />

7.4<br />

7.5<br />

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