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Regulation of Fuels and Fuel Additives: Renewable Fuel Standard ...

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a researcher concludes that the net energy balance is negative, or the energy efficiency is<br />

less than 1.0. Such cases would indicate that the fossil energy used in the production <strong>and</strong><br />

transportation <strong>of</strong> ethanol exceed the energy in the ethanol itself, <strong>and</strong> this is generally<br />

interpreted to mean that lifecycle fossil fuel use negates the benefits <strong>of</strong> replacing gasoline<br />

with ethanol. However, since the metrics used do not actually compare ethanol to<br />

gasoline, such interpretations are unwarranted.<br />

The primary studies that conclude that the energy balance is negative were<br />

conducted by Dr. David Pimental <strong>of</strong> Cornell University <strong>and</strong> Dr. T. Patzek <strong>of</strong> University<br />

<strong>of</strong> California, Berkeley 90,91 . Many other researchers, however, have criticized that work<br />

as being based on out-dated farming <strong>and</strong> ethanol production data, including data not<br />

normally considered in lifecycle analysis for fuels, <strong>and</strong> not following the st<strong>and</strong>ard<br />

methodology for lifecycle analysis in terms <strong>of</strong> valuing co-products. Furthermore, several<br />

recent surveys have concluded that the energy balance is positive, although they differ in<br />

their numerical estimates.<br />

92, ,<br />

93 94 Authors <strong>of</strong> the GREET model have also concluded that<br />

the lifecycle amount <strong>of</strong> fossil energy used to produce ethanol is less than the amount <strong>of</strong><br />

energy in the ethanol itself. Based on our review <strong>of</strong> all the available information, we<br />

have concluded that the energy balance is indeed positive, <strong>and</strong> we believe that the<br />

GREET model provides an accurate basis for quantifying the lifecycle impacts.<br />

B. Overview Of Methodology<br />

The GREET model does not provide estimates <strong>of</strong> energy consumed <strong>and</strong> emissions<br />

generated in total, such as the total amount <strong>of</strong> natural gas consumed in the U.S. in a given<br />

year by ethanol production facilities. Instead, it provides estimates on a national average,<br />

per fuel unit basis, such as the amount <strong>of</strong> natural gas consumed for the average ethanol<br />

production facility per million Btus <strong>of</strong> ethanol produced. As a result we could not use<br />

GREET directly to estimate the nationwide impacts <strong>of</strong> replacing some gasoline <strong>and</strong> diesel<br />

with renewable fuels.<br />

Instead, we used GREET to generate comparisons between renewable fuels <strong>and</strong><br />

the petroleum-based fuels that they displace. These comparisons allowed us to develop<br />

displacement indexes that represent the amount <strong>of</strong> lifecycle GHGs or fossil fuel reduced<br />

when a Btu <strong>of</strong> renewable fuel replaces a Btu <strong>of</strong> gasoline or diesel. In order to estimate<br />

the incremental impacts <strong>of</strong> increased use <strong>of</strong> renewable fuels on GHGs <strong>and</strong> fossil fuels, we<br />

90 Pimentel, David “Ethanol <strong>Fuel</strong>: Energy Balance, Economics, <strong>and</strong> Environmental Impacts are Negative”,<br />

Vol. 12, No 2, 2003 International Association for Mathematical Geology, Natural Resources Research<br />

91 Pimentel, D.; Patzek, T. "Ethanol production using corn, switchgrass, <strong>and</strong> wood; biodiesel production<br />

using soybean <strong>and</strong> sunflower." Nat. Resour. Res. 2005, 14 (1), 65-76.<br />

92 Hammerschlag, R. "Ethanol's Energy Return on Investment: A Survey <strong>of</strong> the Literature 1990 - Present."<br />

Environ. Sci. Technol. 2006, 40, 1744 - 1750.<br />

93 Farrell, A., Pelvin, R., Turner, B., Joenes, A., O’Hare, M., Kammen, D., “Ethanol Can Contribute to<br />

Energy <strong>and</strong> Environmental Goals”, Science, 1/27/2006, Vol 311, 506-508<br />

94 Hill, J., Nelson, E., Tilman, D., Polasky, S., Tiffany, D., “Environmental, economic, <strong>and</strong> energetic costs<br />

<strong>and</strong> benefits <strong>of</strong> biodiesel <strong>and</strong> ethanol bi<strong>of</strong>uels”, Proceedings <strong>of</strong> the National Academy <strong>of</strong> Sciences,<br />

7/25/2006, Vol. 103, No. 30, 11206-11210<br />

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