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Regulation of Fuels and Fuel Additives: Renewable Fuel Standard ...

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5. Potential Water Quality Impacts<br />

Expansion in the use <strong>of</strong> renewable fuels will also have other important impacts<br />

which should be the focus <strong>of</strong> further study <strong>and</strong> evaluation. In particular, renewable fuels<br />

such as ethanol <strong>and</strong> biodiesel produced from agricultural feedstocks raise important<br />

issues with respect to the water quality impacts resulting from the increased production <strong>of</strong><br />

corn <strong>and</strong> soybeans. Due to competing dem<strong>and</strong>, which includes livestock producers,<br />

sweetener manufacturers, <strong>and</strong> foreign buyers among others, it is extremely unlikely that<br />

the current corn crop would be devoted to ethanol production. USDA's Economic<br />

Research Service predicts that current dem<strong>and</strong> for feed <strong>and</strong> exports are expected to stay<br />

constant or perhaps rise. 6 Additional corn-based ethanol production would have to come<br />

from increased corn yields, increased acreage, <strong>and</strong> switching acreage to corn production<br />

from other crops like soybeans <strong>and</strong> cotton. 7<br />

Changes in agriculture as a result <strong>of</strong> increased use <strong>of</strong> renewable fuels can have<br />

significant adverse effects upon water quality, either locally or on a more broad basis.<br />

This has the potential to lead to increased run<strong>of</strong>f <strong>and</strong> delivery to water bodies <strong>of</strong> nutrients,<br />

pesticides <strong>and</strong> sediments, as well as increased salinity <strong>of</strong> farml<strong>and</strong> resulting from<br />

increased irrigation. The increased run<strong>of</strong>f <strong>of</strong> nutrients in turn can cause eutrophication <strong>of</strong><br />

small water bodies as a result <strong>of</strong> localized run<strong>of</strong>f or large water bodies as a result <strong>of</strong><br />

increased regional run<strong>of</strong>f such as currently occurs in the creation <strong>of</strong> the hypoxic zone in<br />

the Gulf <strong>of</strong> Mexico, or eutrophication in the Chesapeake Bay. Some l<strong>and</strong>s have been<br />

retired (e.g., under the Farm Bill's Conservation Reserve Program, or simply at the l<strong>and</strong>owner's<br />

initiative) because those l<strong>and</strong>s are highly erosive, steep, or adjacent to water<br />

bodies. Therefore, farming these l<strong>and</strong>s without appropriate mitigation measures would<br />

pose a particularly great risk to water quality <strong>and</strong> threaten to erase some <strong>of</strong> the gains <strong>of</strong><br />

the last 20 years <strong>of</strong> Farm Bill <strong>and</strong> Clean Water Act implementation. Note that there may<br />

be similar environmental implications in other countries depending on the extent that<br />

either imports <strong>of</strong> renewable fuels or exports <strong>of</strong> agricultural commodities such as corn are<br />

affected.<br />

We have not conducted an analysis for this proposal <strong>of</strong> the impacts on water<br />

quality that might result from the increased use <strong>of</strong> renewable fuels. However, this impact<br />

could present important public policy issues as renewable use exp<strong>and</strong>s, with examination<br />

required <strong>of</strong> both the possible benefits <strong>and</strong> detriments.<br />

B. Program Structure<br />

The RFS program proposed today requires refiners, importers, <strong>and</strong> blenders (other<br />

than oxygenate blenders) to show that a required volume <strong>of</strong> renewable fuel is used. The<br />

required volume is determined by multiplying their annual gasoline production by a<br />

percentage st<strong>and</strong>ard specified by EPA. Compliance is demonstrated through the<br />

6 "USDA Agricultural Baseline Projections To 2015," February 2006, Economic Research Service<br />

7 For more discussion <strong>of</strong> agricultural sector effects, see Section IX.<br />

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