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assuming only that blending <strong>of</strong> ethanol into summertime RFG cause butanes to be<br />

removed.<br />

For estimating the volume <strong>of</strong> butane which must be removed from the gasoline<br />

because <strong>of</strong> the addition <strong>of</strong> ethanol, we assumed that ethanol will be used at 10 volume<br />

percent except for California where it would continue to be used at 5.7 volume percent.<br />

Development <strong>of</strong> the estimates for winter vs. summer ethanol consumption for the control<br />

cases is discussed in Chapter 2.1 <strong>of</strong> the RIA. For the reference case we estimated that 55<br />

percent <strong>of</strong> the ethanol would be used in the winter <strong>and</strong> 45 percent in the summer. Table<br />

VII.C.4-1 summarizes the summertime RFG <strong>and</strong> wintertime RFG <strong>and</strong> CG volumes <strong>of</strong><br />

ethanol <strong>and</strong> estimated change in butane content.<br />

Table VII.C.4-1<br />

Estimated Changes in U.S. Summertime RFG Ethanol Volumes <strong>and</strong> their Impact on<br />

Butane Blending into Gasoline (million gallons in 2012)<br />

Reference 7.2 Bil Gals 7.2 Bil Gals 9.6 Bil Gals 9.6 Bil Gals<br />

Case Max RFG Min RFG Max RFG Min RFG<br />

Summertime RFG<br />

Ethanol<br />

1,155 1,932 244 1,932 244<br />

Wintertime RFG<br />

& CG Ethanol<br />

2,178 3,999 4,812 5,303 6,132<br />

Change in Butane -140 to -456 164 to -297 -140 to -690 164 to -535<br />

The change in volume <strong>of</strong> ethanol, MTBE, alkylate, <strong>and</strong> butane for each control<br />

case is adjusted for energy content. The volume <strong>of</strong> refinery gasoline is then adjusted to<br />

maintain the same energy content as that <strong>of</strong> the reference gasoline pool. The refinery<br />

gasoline production is estimated by dividing the BTU content <strong>of</strong> gasoline, estimated to be<br />

115,000 BTU per gallon, into the total amount <strong>of</strong> BTUs for the entire gasoline pool after<br />

accounting for the BTUs <strong>of</strong> the other blendstocks. The BTU-balanced gasoline pool<br />

volumes for each control case are shown in Table VII.C.4-2. The changes are shown for<br />

both assumptions with respect to the need to remove butane from winter gasoline to<br />

accommodate more ethanol blending.<br />

- 147 -

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