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Naylor Road Metro Station Area Access and Capacity - WMATA.com.

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over the next ten years.” In addition, “the<br />

corridor could support modest additional<br />

growth for neighborhood-servicing offices as the<br />

trade area population <strong>and</strong> in<strong>com</strong>e continue to<br />

grow.” The Branch Avenue Corridor Sector Plan<br />

was published in September 2008.<br />

Parking should be carefully managed at the<br />

redeveloped site. The goal is to limit the number<br />

of parking spaces <strong>and</strong> encourage shared<br />

parking between different l<strong>and</strong> uses that need<br />

it at different times of day or at different times<br />

of the week. Offices, for example, typically<br />

need parking during weekdays, while retail<br />

<strong>and</strong> entertainment venues more likely need it<br />

evenings or on weekends.<br />

Figure 39: Estimated Growth in Passenger Entries at <strong>Naylor</strong><br />

<strong>Road</strong> <strong>Station</strong><br />

4,500<br />

4,017<br />

4,000<br />

2012<br />

3,500<br />

2040<br />

3,160<br />

3,004<br />

3,000<br />

2,500<br />

2,222<br />

2,000<br />

1,500<br />

1,000<br />

938 1,013<br />

500<br />

0<br />

Daily Peak Off Peak<br />

Source: MWCOG travel dem<strong>and</strong> model<br />

Entries<br />

Ridership<br />

The study team used the MWCOG travel dem<strong>and</strong> model, updated for the Purple Line project<br />

to meet Federal Transit Administration (FTA) requirements, to estimate <strong>Metro</strong>rail ridership<br />

<strong>and</strong> mode share at <strong>Naylor</strong> <strong>Road</strong> <strong>Station</strong> in 2040. An advantage of using the travel dem<strong>and</strong><br />

model to estimate future growth is that it accounts for the change in person trip patterns from<br />

demographic change <strong>and</strong> it accounts for effects of constrained parking on station dem<strong>and</strong>.<br />

The estimates are based on year 2040 of the Round 8.0 of the Cooperative Forecasts. The<br />

forecasts for <strong>Naylor</strong> <strong>Road</strong> <strong>Station</strong> area show an overall population increase of two percent <strong>and</strong><br />

an employment increase of 23 percent, reflecting the expected redevelopment of the station<br />

area into an office <strong>and</strong> <strong>com</strong>mercial regional center (Table 16). As shown in Figure 39, the model<br />

Table 16: 2010 to 2040 Population <strong>and</strong> Employment Growth<br />

2010 2040 2010 to 2040 Change<br />

2010 to 2040<br />

Percent Change<br />

Household<br />

Population<br />

Employment<br />

Household<br />

Population<br />

TAZ* Jurisdiction<br />

301 DC 2,240 5,297 544 2,637 6,135 577 397 838 33 18% 16% 6%<br />

302 DC 1,127 2,095 68 1,172 2,179 70 45 84 2 4% 4% 3%<br />

District Total 3,367 7,392 612 3,809 8,314 647 442 922 35 13% 12% 6%<br />

751 MD 683 1,648 3,608 664 1,575 4,244 -19 -73 636 1% -3% 25%<br />

757 MD 1,817 4,526 1,146 1,814 4,369 1,272 -3 -157 126 0% -3% 11%<br />

769 MD 1,232 3,201 1,219 1,246 3,098 1,426 14 -103 207 1% -3% 17%<br />

770 MD 2,097 5,112 95 2,080 4,931 602 -17 -181 507 -1% -4% 534%<br />

Maryl<strong>and</strong> Total 5,829 14,487 6,068 5,804 13,973 7,544 -25 -514 1,476 0% -4% 24%<br />

<strong>Naylor</strong> <strong>Road</strong> Total 9,196 21,879 6,680 9,613 22,287 8,191 417 408 1,511 5% 2% 23%<br />

Source: MWCOG Round 8.0 Cooperative Forecasts<br />

*TAZ identification numbers correspond to the 2,191-TAZ regional division<br />

Employment<br />

Household<br />

Population<br />

Employment<br />

Household<br />

Population<br />

Employment<br />

37 | Future <strong>Station</strong> <strong>Area</strong> Characteristics

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