Targets IMage Energy Regional (TIMER) Model, Technical ...

page 150 of 188 RIVM report 461502024
maximum at some activity level and saturation phenomena with smoothly declining energyintensity.
0.03
0.025
0.02
Amax=40; C2= - 0.5
Amax=80; C2= - 0.5
Amax=40; C2= - 2
Amax=80; C2= - 2
UEI
0.015
0.01
0.005
0
5 15 25 35 45 55 65 75 85 95
A(t)
)LJXUH8VHIXOHQHUJ\LQWHQVLW\IRUGLIIHUHQWYDOXHVRI$ PD[ DQGF
Suppose Ilim=1 and A=A max , we can derive the relation as depicted in )LJXUH. The lower
the value of c 2 and A max , the higher the value of UEI. Thus the energy intensity is low when the
intensity reaches the maximum for a high activity level, and a high value of c 2 . The influence of
A max on the shape of the structural change curve is relevant in view of the hypothesis that,
through technology transfer and other phenomena, presently less developed regions may reach
their maximum energy intensity at lower values of A max .
1
-2.5
-1.75
1
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
0
UEI
0.8-1
0.6-0.8
0.4-0.6
0.2-0.4
0-0.2
-1
3
C2
-0.25
9
7
5
Amax
)LJXUH5HODWLRQEHWZHHQ6&&DQG$ RSW ZKHQ,OLP DQG$ $ RSW