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page 186 of 188 RIVM report 461502024 BLFTimeSL[NR17] year 1970.00 1970.00 Expert judgement “endatreg/data/enoil/blftimes.cal" Year at which the learning in BLF production starts tL OilBLFLogitPar[NR17] - 4.00 4.00 Expert judgement “endatreg/data/enoil/blflogpr.cal" Determines market based penetration of BLF (price -λ sensitivity) OilProdDeplMult[NR17](oo) - 0.00 92.89 Rogner “endatreg/data/enoil/oilpdplm.dat" Production - depletion multiplier for oil production OilDeplM OilProdCum_i[NR17] GJ 1.0E+08 6.1E+11 Estimate “endatreg/data/enoil/oilprcum.ini" Initial cumulated oil production used for calculating the learning factor OilDesGrossMargin[NR17] - 0.20 0.20 Expert judgement “endatreg/data/enoil/oildesgm.cal" Minimum desired gross margin of oil production DGM OilResource_i[NR17] GJ 2.6E+09 2.4E+13 Rogner “endatreg/data/enoil/resource.ini" Initial assumed resource base for oil OilRB OilCost_i[NR17] 1995$/GJ 0.45 3.40 Historic data “endatreg/data/enoil/oilcost.ini" Initial production costs OilRPRDes[NR17] year 15.00 15.00 Calibration “endatreg/data/enoil/rprdes.cal" Desired reserve/production ratio RPRdes DemSupPriceMult(op) - 0.20 3.50 Calibration “endatreg/data/enoil/demsuppm.dat" Multiplier on prices based on market shortages / production on maximum capacity EPIPOil[NR17](oa) - 0.00 2.00 Calibration “endatreg/data/enoil/epipoil.cal" Multiplier indicating the Expected Profit from Investments in Production PriceRatioLLFHLF[NR17] - 2.00 2.00 Calibration/data “endatreg/data/enoil/prratlf.cal" Determines price setting between LLF and HLF fuels PRLH OilTechMaxFrac[NR17] - 0.15 0.15 Expert judgement “endatreg/data/enoil/tmaxfr.cal" Technical Maximum (fraction) which can be produced from reserve OilTechnLT[NR17](t) year 15.00 15.00 Expert judgement “endatreg/scen/engen/oiltelt.cal" Technical lifetime of all [crude] oil capital stocks TLT LFEconLT[NR17](t) year 5.00 5.00 Expert judgement “endatreg/scen/engen/oileclt.cal" Economic lifetime of all liquid fuel capital stocks ELT OilExplExo[NR17](t) GJ 0.00 4.0E+10 “endatreg/data/enoil/oilexpl.dat" Exogenous exploration rate for oil (additional to investment-driven exploration) (not used) OilTRCapOutRatio_i[NR17] 3.60 4.00 Calibration “endatreg/data/enoil/oiltrcor.ini" Oil capital output ratio for transport/refining DifTransport[NR17,NR17](t) 1.00 2.00 Calibration “endatreg/scen/enoil/diftrans.scn" Difficulty matrix for interregional trade WFTC distance[NR17,NR17](t) 1000 km 0.10 24.45 Data “endatreg/data/enoil/oildist.dat" Distance matix for interregional trade D TradeBiasMultOil(op) 1.00 10.00 Calibration “endatreg/data/engen/trbiamul.dat" TradeBiasMultBLF(op) 1.00 10.00 Calibration “endatreg/data/enoil/blftrbia.dat" TRElasBLF[NR17] 3.00 3.00 Expert judgement “endatreg/data/enoil/blftrel.dat" Sensitivity to prices in interregional BLF trade λ TRElasOil[NR17] 5.00 5.00 Expert judgement “endatreg/data/enoil/oiltrel.dat" Sensitivity to prices in interregional oil trade λ shockoil[NR17](t) 0.00 5.33 Calibration “endatreg/data/enoil/shockoil.scn" Additional factor on prices to mimic historic price shocks OligoMult 0.30 0.30 Calibration “endatreg/data/enoil/olimult.dat" Additional factor on prices for oligopolic regions β OliTrsh 0.70 0.70 Calibration “endatreg/data/enoil/olitrsh.dat" Determines who is oligopolic region BLFDemoFrac[NR17](t) - 0.00 0.05 Calibration “endatreg/scen/enoil/blfdemo.scn" Exogenously forced BLF as fraction of LLF demand BLFTarget[NR17](t) - 0.00 0.00 “endatreg/scen/enoil/blftarg.scn" Exogenously forced BLF as fraction of LLF demand BLFPvalue[NR17](t) - 0.90 0.95 Calibration/expert judgement BLFPvalueConv[NR17](t) - 0.85 0.90 Calibration/expert judgement BLFtranscostpkm(t) 105.00 135.00 Calibration/expert judgement “endatreg/scen/enoil/blfpvalp.scn" Progress ratio, costs declines for doubling of BLF production “endatreg/scen/enoil/blfpvalc.scn" Progress ratio, costs declines for doubling of BLF π conversion (ethanol etc.) “endatreg/scen/enoil/blftrcst.scn" Transport costs for BLF TC BLFTransfFrac[NR17] - 0.05 0.05 Expert judgement “endatreg/scen/enoil/blftrans.scn" Transformation and distribution losses as a fraction of domestic BLF demand OilTransFrac[NR17](t) - 0.00 0.34 Historical data “endatreg/scen/enoil/oiltrans.scn" Transformation and distribution losses as a fraction of domestic oil demand OilLearnExpTR(t) - 0.90 0.90 Calibration “endatreg/scen/enoil/oiltrpvl.scn" Progress ratio, costs declines for doubling of oil production for transport/refining OilPCum π τ τ π
RIVM report 461502024 page 187 of 188 OilPValue[NR17](t) 0.70 0.97 Calibration “endatreg/scen/enoil/oilpval.scn" Learning factor for oil production π BunkerInt[NR17](t) - 0.00 0.35 Historical data “endatreg/scen/enoil/bnkint.scn" Use of oil for bunkers BLFFracDemFut[NR17](t) 0.00 0.00 “endatreg/scen/enoil/fracimbl.scn" BLF import scenario in case of no endogenous trade modelling BLFFracSupFut[NR17](t) 0.00 0.00 “endatreg/scen/enoil/fracexbl.scn" BLF export scenario in case of no endogenous trade modelling OilFracSupFut[NR17](t) 0.00 0.58 “endatreg/scen/enoil/fracexps.scn" Oil import scenario in case of no endogenous trade modelling OilFracDemFut[NR17](t) 0.00 1.00 “endatreg/scen/enoil/fracimpd.scn" Oil export scenario in case of no endogenous trade modelling OilFracDemConstr[NR17](t) 0.00 1.00 Calibration “endatreg/scen/enoil/mximolfr.scn" Constraints on oil import BLFFracDemConstr[NR17](t) 0.00 1.00 Calibration “endatreg/scen/enoil/mximblfr.scn" Constraints on BLF import transcost(t) $/GJ-km 34.00 34.00 Calibration/data “endatreg/scen/enoil/transcos.scn" Transport costs for oil TC premblf[NR17] - 0.50 0.50 Calibration “endatreg/scen/enoil/prtrblf.scn" multiplier on regionally produced blf in trade module premoil[NR17] - 0.62 1.53 Calibration “endatreg/scen/enoil/prtroil.scn" multiplier on regionally produced oil in trade module OilExpConstMult[NR17](t) 1.00 100.00 Calibration “endatreg/scen/enoil/oilexpmx.scn" Constraints on oil exports 'DWJDVÃIRUÃ*)ÃVXEPRGHO BGFYieldFact_i[NR17] GJ/ha 200.00 230.00 TES “endatreg/data/engen/yieldfac.ini" Initial yield for biofuel production plantages Yieldbio BGFDesGrossMargin[NR17] 0.20 0.20 Expert judgement “endatreg/data/engas/bgfdesgm.cal" BioGaseousFuel BGF Desired Gross Margin for producers BGFMShareAdjTime[NR17] 5.00 5.00 Expert judgement “endatreg/data/engas/bgfadjt.cal" Adjustment parameter to delay the market penetration of BLF BGFCORInit[NR17] $/GJ 14.50 14.50 Calibration “endatreg/data/engas/bgfcor.ini" Initial capital-output ratio for Biomass production BGFCOR BGFConvCOR_i[NR17] 65.00 65.00 Calibration “endatreg/data/engas/bgfcorco.ini" Initial capital-output ratio for conversion of biofuels to BGF BGFLearnCum_i[NR17] GJ 4.5E+06 4.5E+06 Calibration “endatreg/data/engas/bgfcuml.ini" Initial value for cumulated gaseous biofuel production for learning by doing simulation rntL BGFTechnLT[NR17](t) year 15.00 15.00 Expert judgement “endatreg/scen/engen/bgftelt.cal" Technical lifetime of BGF capital stocks TLT BGFTimeSL[NR17] year 1970.00 1970.00 “endatreg/data/engas/bgftimes.cal" Year at which the learning in BGF production starts TL GasBGFLogitPar[NR17] 4.00 4.00 Expert judgement “endatreg/data/engas/bgflogpr.cal" Multinomial logit parameter which determines price -λ difference based BLF market penetration (zero means that price differences have no role, high means important) BGFCORconv BGFCumLea GasProdDeplMult[NR17](gg) - 0.00 126.28 Rogner “endatreg/data/engas/gaspdplm.dat" Production - depletion multiplier for gas production GasDeplM GasPCum GasProdCum_i[NR17] GJ 1.1E+05 3.4E+11 Estimate “endatreg/data/engas/gasprcum.ini" Initial cumulated gas production used for calculating the learning factor GasDesGrossMargin[NR17] 0.20 0.20 Expert judgement “endatreg/data/engas/gasdesgm.cal" Desired Gross Margin for Natural Gas production DGM GasResource_i[NR17] GJ 4.7E+11 2.0E+14 Rogner + prod90/95 “endatreg/data/engas/resource.ini" Initial gas resource base GasRB GasCost_i[NR17] 0.27 5.00 Historical data “endatreg/data/engas/gascost.ini" initial gas production costs GasRPRDes[NR17] year 25.00 30.00 Calibration “endatreg/data/engas/rprdes.cal" Desired reserve production ratio for gas RPRdes DemSupPriceMult(op) 0.20 3.50 Calibration “endatreg/data/engas/demsuppm.dat" multiplier on prices as function of demand and supply of natural gas EPIPGas[NR17](ga) 1.00 2.00 Davidsen/calibration “endatreg/data/engas/epipgas.cal" Multiplier determining the exploration effort in Natural Gas as function of expected price vs. costs (first column) (Davidsen) GasTechMaxFrac[NR17] - 0.15 0.15 Expert judgement “endatreg/data/engas/tmaxfr.cal" Technical Maximum (fraction) which can be produced from reserve
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Targets IMage Energy Regional (TIMER) Model, Technical ...

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