Targets IMage Energy Regional (TIMER) Model, Technical ...

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page 180 of 188 RIVM report 461502024 CO2BL[NR17](t) 4.4E+09 1.8E+12 “endatreg/scen/baseline/co2_bl.scn" Comparison scenario UserCostNTBL[NR17](t) 1.4E+09 1.6E+12 Comparison scenario UECost “endatreg/scen/baseline/usct_ntbl.scn" UserCostBL[NR17](t) 1.4E+09 1.6E+12 “endatreg/scen/baseline/usct_bl.scn" Comparison scenario UECost TotInvBL[18,8](t) -2.1E+08 9.1E+11 “endatreg/scen/baseline/totinv.scn" Comparison scenario EXOCarbonTax[NR17](t) 0.00 0.00 “endatreg/scen/engen/ctax.scn" Carbon tax value EXOCgas[NR17](t) 0.33 1.00 “endatreg/exo/cgas.dat" Scenario files that can be used instead of calculated values (normally not used) EXOCoil[NR17](t) 0.20 1.00 “endatreg/exo/coil.dat" Scenario files that can be used instead of calculated values (normally not used) EXOSFPrice[NR17](t) 0.01 10.85 “endatreg/exo/sfprice.dat" Scenario files that can be used instead of calculated values (normally not used) EXOLFprice[NR17](t) 0.19 24.37 “endatreg/exo/lfprice.dat" Scenario files that can be used instead of calculated values (normally not used) EXOGFprice[NR17](t) 0.14 20.75 “endatreg/exo/gfprice.dat" Scenario files that can be used instead of calculated values (normally not used) EXOELprice[NR17](t) 2.56 71.41 “endatreg/exo/elprice.dat" Scenario files that can be used instead of calculated values (normally not used) EXOLLFprice[NR17](t) 0.57 28.45 “endatreg/exo/llfprice.dat" Scenario files that can be used instead of calculated values (normally not used) EXOHLFprice[NR17](t) 0.19 14.22 “endatreg/exo/hlfprice.dat" Scenario files that can be used instead of calculated values (normally not used) TargetStorage[NR17](t) 0.00 0.00 “endatreg/scen/engen/storage.scn" Target for carbon removal and storage for power plants BioSinks(t) 0.00 0.00 “endatreg/scen/engen/biosinks.scn" The amount of biosinks (subtracted from carbon dioxide emission target) TargetStorageRSE[NR17](t) 0.00 0.00 “endatreg/scen/engen/storrse.scn" Target for carbon removal and storage for secondary use 'DWGHPÃIRUÃGHPDQG VXEPRGHO ConservInvCum_i[NR17,NS,N EF] ConservPvalue[NR17,NS,NEF] (t) ConservRevHtime[NR17,NS,N EF] ConservRevMax[NR17,NS,NE F] ConservCapTechLT[NR17,NS, NEF] ] US$1995 8.6E+07 9.6E+10 Calibration “endatreg/data/endem/consinv.ini" Initial cumulative investments in energy conservation in the baseyear (US$-1995) - 0.81 0.90 Calibration “endatreg/scen/endem/conspval.dat" Progress ratio for energy conservation technology π Years 1.00 5.00 Exp.judgement “endatreg/data/endem/ConsHTi.dat" Halftime of the allowed reversible decrease of energy conservation fraction Fr. 0.10 0.20 Exp.judgement “endatreg/data/endem/ConsRMax.dat" Maximum of the allowed reversible decrease of energy conservation fraction CumInvPIEEI Years 8.00 15.00 Exp.judgement “endatreg/data/endem/convtelt.dat" Technical lifetime of end-use conservation capital (year) TL_conservc ap EndUseCapTechLT[NR17,NS, NEF] Years 8.00 15.00 Exp.judgement “endatreg/data/endem/eucptelt.dat" Technical lifetime of end-use, energy using capital (year) TL_end use cap LoadFactor[NR17,NS,NEF] - 0.20 0.60 Exp.judgement “endatreg/data/endem/loadfac.dat" Load factor (-) LoadFactor MargIntensStart[NR17,NS,NEF SY_AEEI Years 15.00 101.00 Calibration “endatreg/data/endem/meistart.dat" Regional starting point on the marginal intensity curve (world) in the baseyear (year) OMCost[NR17,NS,NEC] 1995$/GJ 0.00 0.50 Exp.judgement “endatreg/data/endem/omcost.dat" Operation and maintenance costs OMC SInvCost[NR17,NS,NEC] 1995$ 0.00 500.00 Exp.judgement “endatreg/data/endem/sinvcost.dat" Specific investment costs CostUE CostUEInit[NR17,NS,NEF] 1995$/GJ 2.97 70.06 Based on 1971 prices and energy use “endatreg/data/endem/costue.ini" Initial price of useful energy - necessary in PIEEI formulation
RIVM report 461502024 page 181 of 188 ConservDelayStep[NR17,NS,N EF] Years 4.00 4.00 Exp.judgement “endatreg/data/endem/consdel.dat" Number of years the energy conservation is delayed (year) ConsDelay TechFacInp[NR17,NS,NEF+2] - 0.67 1.00 Calibration “endatreg/data/endem/techfac.dat" Ratio between 1975 and 1971 technology in order to make simulation matches historic data in 1995 ] IntensRefFile[NR17,NS,NEF+2 GJ/1995 US$ 0.00 0.02 IEA data “endatreg/data/endem/intref.dat" Intensity in reference year (1995) in order to result in 100% match between simulation and model in 1995 IntTotRevFactor(t) - 1.00 1.00 Choice “endatreg/data/endem/revers.dat" Switch that determines whether model shows reversibility in response to declining activity levels CalibFactor[NR17,NS,NEF+2] - 0.84 1.07 Calibration “endatreg/data/endem/calib.dat" Factor that can be used to increase/reduce SC formulation to fit history (at expense of missing match in 1995) IntUEc0File[NR17,NS,NEF+2] - 0.00 0.00 Calibration “endatreg/data/endem/IntUEc0.dat" Parameters part of the SC formula c0 IntUEc3File[NR17,NS,NEF+2] - -2.81 0.00 Calibration “endatreg/data/endem/IntUEc3.dat" Parameters part of the SC formula c3 IntUEc4File[NR17,NS,NEF+2] - 1.00 1.00 Calibration “endatreg/data/endem/IntUEc4.dat" Parameters part of the SC formula: determines saturation c4 level IntUEc4Fut[NR17,NS,NEF+2]( - 0.80 1.00 Scenario “endatreg/scen/endem/IntUEc4F.scn" Multiplyer on historic c4; determines future saturation c4 t) level PosMaxFile[NR17,NS,NEF+2] 1995US$ 1189.22 1.0E+05 Calibration “endatreg/data/endem/PosMax.dat" Position of maximum in energy intensity formulation Amax IntensTBFile[NR17,NS,NEF+2] GJ/1995 US$ 0.00 0.00 Calibration “endatreg/data/endem/IntTB.dat" A theoretical minimum for intensity UEIbase DFRef[NR17,NS,NEF] 1995 US$ 443.3 2.7E+04 Historic data “endatreg/data/endem/DFRef.dat" Value of activity indicator in 1995 FracSat[NR17,NS] Fr. 0.05 0.12 Scenario “endatreg/data/endem/FracSat.dat" Relevant to estimate saturation value of energy use in case an alternative driver CHINFAC[NR17,NS](t) - 0.40 3.50 Calibration “endatreg/data/endem/chinfac.dat" Calibration factor sometimes used to correct discrepancies between model results and historic data (used with care !!) TFMult[NR17] - 0.04 0.04 Calibration “endatreg/scen/endem/TFMult.dat" Determines future income elasticity as function of per capita traditional fuel consumption TFelasIncHist[NR17] - -3.00 -0.05 Calibration&IEA research TFelasUrb[NR17] - -0.50 -0.20 Calibration&IEA research “endatreg/data/endem/TFFac1.dat" Gives historic income elasticity for traditional fuel consumption “endatreg/data/endem/TFFac2.dat" Determines dependency of trad. Fuel use on share urban population TFelasAlt[NR17] - 0.02 0.02 IEA research “endatreg/data/endem/TFFac3.dat" Determines dependency of trad. fuel use on price of alternative (oil price) TFFacSat[NR17] GJ/cap 0.00 0.33 Calibration “endatreg/scen/endem/TFFacSat.dat" Minimum level of traditional fuel use TFConsPC_s at TFConsPC TradFuelInit[NR17] GJ/cap 1.39 16.41 IEA data “endatreg/data/endem/TFpc.ini" Inititial consumption of traditional fuel (based on historic data) IndModBioFac[NR17] Fr. 0.00 0.05 “endatreg/scen/endem/indmdbio.dat" Share of biomass use in industry that is assumed to be ] 'modern biofuels TradFuelShare[NR17,NS](t) Fr. 0.00 0.97 IEA data “endatreg/scen/endem/TFShare.scn" Share in industry, services, transport and other of traditional biofuels MShareExoFile[NR17,NS,(NE C-2)](t) Fr. 0.00 0.98 “endatreg/scen/endem/msexo.scn" exogenous marketshare of commercial energy carriers in heat (fraction) RatioLLF[NR17,NS](t) Fr. 0.06 1.00 IEA data (EDGAR) “endatreg/scen/endem/LLFFrac.scn" Ratio of LLF/HLF in end use liquid fuel use LLF fraction CostCurveScale[NR17,NS,NEF 17.00 125.00 Calibration CCS US$1995/GJs aved CostCurveMax[NR17,NS,NEF] Fr. 0.80 0.80 “endatreg/data/endem/CostCurveScale .dat" “endatreg/scen/endem/CostCurveMax. Scaling constant for conservation cost curves (US$/GJsaved) Maximum intensity-reduction resulting from price changes ε1 ε2 ε3 NAMS CCmax
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