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Keith Vodden Dr. Douglas Smith - Transports Canada

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I<br />

INTRODUCTION<br />

This report presents findings from the Analysis and Estimation of the Social Cost<br />

of Motor Vehicle Collisions in Ontario. 1 The report covers the results of all phases of the<br />

study related to data acquisition, modeling, estimation, and validation.<br />

The report is structured as follows:<br />

• Chapter II provides an overview of the social cost model and its results.<br />

• Chapter III provides details on the core Ontario model, data and adjustments.<br />

• Chapter IV presents the social costs of motor vehicle collisions occurring in<br />

Ontario in 2004 as estimated by the core Ontario model.<br />

• Chapter V provides an overview of four sub-models of Ontario collisions, their<br />

data, adjustments and social costs. These sub-models cover particular sub-sets of<br />

Ontario collisions occurring in 2004:<br />

- <strong>Dr</strong>inking and driving collisions.<br />

- Pedestrian involved collisions.<br />

- Large truck collisions.<br />

- Freeway collisions. (Separate calculations are provided for social costs and<br />

costs to government only.)<br />

• Chapter VI gives an overview of the Canadian jurisdictions model. Data,<br />

adjustments and social costs are presented for the 13 jurisdictions in <strong>Canada</strong> and<br />

for all of <strong>Canada</strong>.<br />

Appendices cover:<br />

• Appendix A—Detailed Calculations of the Ontario Model. This appendix<br />

identifies how data are used in the core model and all assumptions that are made.<br />

• Appendix B—Changing the Model. Features of the model are described.<br />

Examples are presented to test alternative scenarios or to update the model for<br />

future collision information. Further it describes how to make changes to the<br />

parameters of the model.<br />

• Appendix C—Discounted Future Earnings. Details on the methods to estimate<br />

this alternative value for human consequences are provided.<br />

1 This study was commissioned by the Ontario Ministry of Transportation, Transport <strong>Canada</strong> and the<br />

Workplace Safety and Insurance Board. A Steering Committee of representatives from these<br />

organizations was instrumental to the success of the study.<br />

TNS Canadian Facts, Social and Policy Research 1

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