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Keith Vodden Dr. Douglas Smith - Transports Canada

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Ontario Model<br />

Step 3<br />

Allocate additional injuries based on proportion of demolished vehicles<br />

Collision Severity<br />

Fatal Injury PDO<br />

Injuries:<br />

Major 50 100<br />

Minor 70 150<br />

Minimal 60 125<br />

Additional injuries:<br />

Major 100<br />

Minor 200<br />

Minimal 50<br />

Vehicles damaged:<br />

Demolished 10 50 40<br />

Injuries:<br />

Major 50 + 10 100 + 50 0 + 40<br />

Minor 70 + 20 150 + 100 0 + 80<br />

Minimal 60 + 5 125 + 25 0 + 20<br />

Injuries:<br />

Major 60 150 40<br />

Minor 90 250 80<br />

Minimal 65 150 20<br />

We use the characteristics of fatal collisions 1 to move an appropriate number of<br />

collisions with the same characteristics from the injury collision severity group to the<br />

fatal severity group. This is illustrated in the hypothetical example provided below.<br />

In this example, the average fatal collision has the following characteristics–1<br />

fatality, 3 injuries and 10 vehicles involved. There are 3 fatalities assigned to injury<br />

collisions after the adjustments noted earlier. Assuming the collisions, involving the 3<br />

fatalities, but listed as injury collisions are like other fatal collisions, allows us to identify<br />

3 collisions, with 3 fatalities, 9 injuries and 30 vehicles involved among injury collisions.<br />

Transferring these collisions from injury to fatal collisions would increase fatal collisions<br />

1 Each fatal collision includes 1.11 fatality, 0.44 major injury, 2.16 minor injury, 1.33 minimal injury and<br />

involves the following vehicles by damage level: 0.99 demolished, 0.27 severe, 0.21 moderate, 0.18 light<br />

and 0.07 none.<br />

TNS Canadian Facts, Social and Policy Research 21

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