Keith Vodden Dr. Douglas Smith - Transports Canada

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Canadian Jurisdictions Model and Social Costs Exhibit VI-6 Yukon (cont-d) Social Costs for Canadian Jurisdictions based on Willingness to Pay—Medium Scenario (2004 $ millions) Collision Severity Fatal Injury PDO TOTAL Fatalities 69.2 69.2 Injuries: Major 0.3 4.7 5.0 Minor 0.1 6.6 6.7 Minimal 0.0 0.1 0.1 Total disability 0.1 1.1 1.2 Partial disability 0.3 6.4 6.7 HUMAN SUB-TOTAL 70.0 18.8 88.9 Other costs: Property damage 0.1 1.5 1.9 3.6 Hospital/Health care: - ER facility 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - Hospital stay facility 0.0 0.1 0.1 - Medical practitioners 0.0 0.4 0.5 Police 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 Courts 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Fire 0.0 0.3 0.3 Ambulance 0.0 0.1 0.1 Tow trucks 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 Out of pocket 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 Traffic delays: - Extra time 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.6 - Extra fuel 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 - Extra pollution 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.6 OTHER SUB-TOTAL 0.9 3.3 2.6 6.8 OVERALL TOTAL 70.9 22.2 2.6 95.7 TNS Canadian Facts, Social and Policy Research 105
Analysis and Estimation of the Social Cost of Motor Vehicle Collisions in Ontario Social cost estimates for each jurisdiction were then aggregated to reflect the social costs of motor vehicle collisions in Canada. Results for 2004 using the willingness to pay approach and medium scenario are shown in Exhibit VI-7. The Canadian results indicate a social cost of $63 billion. A total of $55 billion (87%) are related to the human consequences of the collision while $8 billion (13%) are related to other costs of motor vehicle collisions. Totals for Canada are derived from individual estimates of social costs for each jurisdiction. Exhibit VI-8 presents the distribution of social costs estimated using the willingness to pay—medium scenario by jurisdiction within the Canadian total. The distribution of the Canadian population, gross domestic product, passenger kilometres travelled, and licensed drivers by jurisdiction is also presented for comparison purposes only. Although there are many determinants of motor vehicle collisions, there are some interesting findings through a comparison of these distributions. For example, Ontario represents a smaller share of the total Canadian social costs than its share of all social indicators. Exhibit VI-9 illustrates changes to the social costs of human consequences for Canada if other social cost methods and assumptions are used. Using the discounted future earnings (DFE) method the cost of human consequences have a value of $5.8 billion for a total social costs including human consequences of $13.7 billion to Canada. The low and high scenarios using willingness to pay (WTP) result in estimates of human consequences of $26.5 billion and $83.0 billion respectively. Based on these estimates the total social cost of motor vehicle collisions in 2004 for Canada are $34.4 billion and $90.9 billion respectively. The social costs of human consequences for Canadian jurisdictions assuming other social cost methods and assumptions are presented in Appendix D. 106 TNS Canadian Facts, Social and Policy Research
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TP 14800F Analysis and Estimation o
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APPENDIX A: DETAIL ON CALCULATIONS
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• Large truck. Collisions involvi
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ABBREVIATIONS CAC Criteria Air Cont
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Analysis and Estimation of the Soci
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III ONTARIO MODEL This chapter desc
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Ontario Model redistribution. Simil
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Ontario Model • Pedestrian Injure
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Ontario Model Based on this analysi
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Ontario Model Step 3 Allocate addit
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Ontario Model damaged based on this
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Ontario Model 1. Number of total an
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Ontario Model 2.99; specialist—1.
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Ontario Model 5. Tow trucks Tow tru
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Ontario Model Exhibit III-5 Core WT
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Ontario Model We combine this value
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Ontario Model 6. Ambulance The Onta
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Ontario Model individuals who self-
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Ontario Model threatening injury, p
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Ontario Model d) Additional Polluti
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Ontario Model VARIABLE DATA LOST TI
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Ontario Model We have no data to gu
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Page 64 and 65: V ONTARIO SUB-MODELS AND THEIR SOCI
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APPENDIX B: MAKING CHANGES TO THE M
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Appendix B—Making Changes to the
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Appendix B—Making Changes to the
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Appendix C The Value of Human Conse
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APPENDIX D: VALUE OF HUMAN CONSEQUE
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Appendix D—Value of Human Consequ
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APPENDIX E: REFERENCES Audrey, J. a
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Keith Vodden Dr. Douglas Smith - Transports Canada

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