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Keith Vodden Dr. Douglas Smith - Transports Canada

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Analysis and Estimation of the Social Cost of Motor Vehicle Collisions in Ontario<br />

Exhibit III-3 (a section from spreadsheet O2 in the model) illustrates the results of<br />

these transfers among collision severity categories to adjust for fatalities occurring in<br />

injury collisions and injuries occurring in PDOs. The result of these transfers is to<br />

increase the number of fatal collisions by 12 (with a corresponding reduction in injury<br />

collisions) and to increase the number of injury collisions by 11,878 (with a<br />

corresponding reduction in PDO collisions). The total number of collisions is not affected<br />

nor is the number of vehicles involved. However there is a redistribution of collisions and<br />

motor vehicles damaged by collision severity, as well as an increase in fatalities and<br />

injuries to reflect the better data available from the Coroner’s Office (fatalities),<br />

MOH&LTC (major and minor injuries) and Chipman re-analysis (minimal injuries).<br />

Exhibit III-3 Adjusted Data for Ontario Model—Number of Collisions,<br />

Fatalities, Injuries and Damaged Vehicles (2004)<br />

Collision Severity<br />

Fatal Injury PDO TOTAL<br />

Collisions 730 61,814 169,004 231,548<br />

Fatalities 813 813<br />

Injuries:<br />

Major 317 4,961 5,279<br />

Minor 1,574 59,152 60,726<br />

Minimal 968 57,855 58,822<br />

Vehicles damaged:<br />

Demolished 723 13,150 4,107 17,980<br />

Severe 200 27,605 30,903 58,708<br />

Moderate 157 32,436 105,753 138,345<br />

Light 133 32,158 148,879 181,170<br />

None 48 11,258 19,443 30,748<br />

In 2004 and subsequent years these transfers are conducted automatically based<br />

on decision rules influenced by the data.<br />

C. OTHER CHARACTERISTICS OF INJURED INDIVIDUALS<br />

This section identifies further characteristics of those injured in motor vehicle<br />

collisions.<br />

24 TNS Canadian Facts, Social and Policy Research

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