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Keith Vodden Dr. Douglas Smith - Transports Canada

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Analysis and Estimation of the Social Cost of Motor Vehicle Collisions in Ontario<br />

by 3 (from 30 to 33 collisions) and reduce injury collisions by 3 from (303 to 300). The<br />

characteristics of the collision would also be transferred resulting in the increase of 3<br />

fatalities, 9 injuries and 30 involved vehicles to fatal collisions and the corresponding<br />

reduction of these characteristics from the injury collisions.<br />

Step 4<br />

Transfer of injury collisions involving fatalities to fatal collisions<br />

based on characteristics of fatal collisions<br />

Collision Severity<br />

Fatal<br />

Injury<br />

Collisions 30 303<br />

Fatalities 30 3<br />

Injuries 90 9 + 200<br />

Vehicles damaged 300 30 500<br />

Fatal<br />

Injury<br />

Collisions 30 3 300<br />

Fatalities 30 3<br />

Injuries 90 + 9 200<br />

Vehicles damaged 300 30 500<br />

Fatal<br />

Injury<br />

33 300<br />

Fatalities 33<br />

Injuries 99 200<br />

Vehicles damaged 330 500<br />

Similarly the model uses the characteristics of injury collisions to determine the<br />

number and characteristics of collisions to transfer from the revised PDO category to the<br />

injury collision category. However, the correct number of collisions to transfer will vary<br />

depending on which severity category of injury is selected to base the transfer. As a<br />

result, the decision on the maximum number of collisions needed to transfer all injuries is<br />

model determined based on the characteristics of the data. The model transfers injuries in<br />

the proportion they occur in these collisions up to the maximum number by severity<br />

category initially allocated to PDOs. It also transfers the expected number of vehicles<br />

22 TNS Canadian Facts, Social and Policy Research

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