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Keith Vodden Dr. Douglas Smith - Transports Canada

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Analysis and Estimation of the Social Cost of Motor Vehicle Collisions in Ontario<br />

g<br />

y<br />

r<br />

= rate of increase of labour productivity (variable, set at 1% to<br />

yield the summary data presented below)<br />

= age at which the individual was injured<br />

= is the real discount rate (variable, set at 4% to yield the<br />

summary data presented below)<br />

The Excel spreadsheet is used to apply the above calculations to compute<br />

discounted lifetime earnings and household production losses for deaths and permanently<br />

disabling injuries. (Note: household production losses are calculated using their<br />

relationships to earnings in 1993, as described below under “Input Data”; also, the rate of<br />

increase of labour productivity does not apply to the calculation of lost household<br />

production.)<br />

C. SHORT-TERM PRODUCTIVITY LOSS<br />

Short-term productivity loss includes both wage loss and household production<br />

loss from injuries that did not lead to death or permanent disability. Average daily<br />

earnings plus fringe benefits for workers and non-workers is estimated as hours worked<br />

per day worked times hourly wage times labour force participation times participants<br />

employed times 1.341 (to add fringe benefits, as above).<br />

Household production was computed from the 1993 data in a manner parallel to<br />

that described above for the lifetime calculations.<br />

D. INPUT DATA<br />

The input data used by the spreadsheet consist of:<br />

• Counts of fatalities and of major, minor, and minimal injuries, by sex and<br />

single years of age, for 2004.<br />

• Annual employment income per person in Ontario, calculated as P * L * E * Y<br />

where:<br />

P = the population of Ontario, tabulated at zero years, 1-4, 5-9, fiveyear<br />

groups to 84, and 85 and over, from Labour Force Historical<br />

Review, 2005, Statistics <strong>Canada</strong> 71F0004XCB.<br />

L = the Ontario percentage labour force participation, from Labour<br />

Force Historical Review, 2005, Statistics <strong>Canada</strong> 71F0004XCB.<br />

170 TNS Canadian Facts, Social and Policy Research

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