24.10.2014 Views

Dissertation - HQ

Dissertation - HQ

Dissertation - HQ

SHOW MORE
SHOW LESS

You also want an ePaper? Increase the reach of your titles

YUMPU automatically turns print PDFs into web optimized ePapers that Google loves.

Oriented swimming and passive advection 155<br />

Table 6.3 Effect of the a 2ºC increase in water temperature on the Pelagic Larval<br />

Duration, percentage of successful (i.e. self-recruiting) trajectories, recruitment<br />

rate, and mean distance from the starting location along the trajectory, for the<br />

coral reef fish P. amboinensis and a temperate fish, in the island and promontory<br />

(Prom.) environments. The reduction of PLD is computed after O’Connor et al. 37 .<br />

Coral-Reef Temperate<br />

present +2ºC present +2ºC<br />

PLD (d) 25 22.1 27 21.7<br />

Island<br />

Prom.<br />

success (%) 95 95 45 48<br />

recruitment rate × 10 3 1.9 2.2 0.092 0.28<br />

mean dist (km) 17.1 18.5 18.1 20.1<br />

success (%) 95 95 72 75<br />

recruitment rate × 10 3 1.9 2.2 0.15 0.44<br />

mean dist (km) 16.5 22.4 43.5 33.1<br />

swimming early and swimming down seem to be key to enhancing<br />

self-recruitment.<br />

The rate of self-recruitment is estimated as PLD multiplied by daily<br />

mortality rate and success percentage (Table 6.3). The daily mortality<br />

rates are 0.22 for the perciform coral-reef fish, and 0.27 for the temperate<br />

fish (which would correspond to a gadiform species or to a measure of<br />

the mean between gadiform, pleuronectiform, and perciform temperate<br />

fishes) 232 and were adjusted for temperature after the 2ºC increase<br />

(mortality rates increase with temperature) 72,273 . For P. amboinensis the<br />

increase in recruitment rate is due to the shorter PLD that reduces<br />

the exposure of larvae to pelagic mortality. For the temperate larvae,<br />

however, the increase in recruitment rate is proportionally larger, both<br />

because the reduction in PLD is larger (5.3 d instead of 2.9 d – note the<br />

convexity of the curve in Figure 6.13, page 145) and because the mean<br />

percentage of success increases. In all cases, recruitment varies between<br />

roughly 10 -3 and 10 -5 .<br />

Eventually, as self-recruitment is higher, one may assume that larvae<br />

are retained more and stay closer to their release points on average. The<br />

mean radial distance between the release point and positions at each<br />

time step along the trajectory is computed for the successful trajectories<br />

among a hundred runs in each configuration. As Table 6.3 highlights,<br />

the expected result is only observed for the temperate species in the<br />

promontory configuration. In all other cases, the mean distance is<br />

actually larger after the 2ºC increase. This surprising result has two<br />

explanations. First, in present situation, some larvae may rapidly be<br />

entrained too far to self-recruit. After a 2ºC increase, their swimming<br />

abilities develop faster and, following the same initial trajectories, larvae<br />

may now be able to make it back to the island (or promontory) to recruit.<br />

The optimisation routine is only concerned with successful trajectories<br />

Higher self-recruitment<br />

but increased distance<br />

from release point<br />

Increased<br />

maximum distance

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!