Dissertation - HQ
Dissertation - HQ
Dissertation - HQ
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Oriented swimming and passive advection 155<br />
Table 6.3 Effect of the a 2ºC increase in water temperature on the Pelagic Larval<br />
Duration, percentage of successful (i.e. self-recruiting) trajectories, recruitment<br />
rate, and mean distance from the starting location along the trajectory, for the<br />
coral reef fish P. amboinensis and a temperate fish, in the island and promontory<br />
(Prom.) environments. The reduction of PLD is computed after O’Connor et al. 37 .<br />
Coral-Reef Temperate<br />
present +2ºC present +2ºC<br />
PLD (d) 25 22.1 27 21.7<br />
Island<br />
Prom.<br />
success (%) 95 95 45 48<br />
recruitment rate × 10 3 1.9 2.2 0.092 0.28<br />
mean dist (km) 17.1 18.5 18.1 20.1<br />
success (%) 95 95 72 75<br />
recruitment rate × 10 3 1.9 2.2 0.15 0.44<br />
mean dist (km) 16.5 22.4 43.5 33.1<br />
swimming early and swimming down seem to be key to enhancing<br />
self-recruitment.<br />
The rate of self-recruitment is estimated as PLD multiplied by daily<br />
mortality rate and success percentage (Table 6.3). The daily mortality<br />
rates are 0.22 for the perciform coral-reef fish, and 0.27 for the temperate<br />
fish (which would correspond to a gadiform species or to a measure of<br />
the mean between gadiform, pleuronectiform, and perciform temperate<br />
fishes) 232 and were adjusted for temperature after the 2ºC increase<br />
(mortality rates increase with temperature) 72,273 . For P. amboinensis the<br />
increase in recruitment rate is due to the shorter PLD that reduces<br />
the exposure of larvae to pelagic mortality. For the temperate larvae,<br />
however, the increase in recruitment rate is proportionally larger, both<br />
because the reduction in PLD is larger (5.3 d instead of 2.9 d – note the<br />
convexity of the curve in Figure 6.13, page 145) and because the mean<br />
percentage of success increases. In all cases, recruitment varies between<br />
roughly 10 -3 and 10 -5 .<br />
Eventually, as self-recruitment is higher, one may assume that larvae<br />
are retained more and stay closer to their release points on average. The<br />
mean radial distance between the release point and positions at each<br />
time step along the trajectory is computed for the successful trajectories<br />
among a hundred runs in each configuration. As Table 6.3 highlights,<br />
the expected result is only observed for the temperate species in the<br />
promontory configuration. In all other cases, the mean distance is<br />
actually larger after the 2ºC increase. This surprising result has two<br />
explanations. First, in present situation, some larvae may rapidly be<br />
entrained too far to self-recruit. After a 2ºC increase, their swimming<br />
abilities develop faster and, following the same initial trajectories, larvae<br />
may now be able to make it back to the island (or promontory) to recruit.<br />
The optimisation routine is only concerned with successful trajectories<br />
Higher self-recruitment<br />
but increased distance<br />
from release point<br />
Increased<br />
maximum distance