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Look<strong>in</strong>g to the future<br />
Challenges<br />
As Africa faces the challenge of creat<strong>in</strong>g favourable conditions for enabl<strong>in</strong>g the <strong>in</strong>novation<br />
required to stimulate poverty reduction and agricultural growth, the context for this is<br />
chang<strong>in</strong>g. Increas<strong>in</strong>g population, rapid urbanisation, land resource degradation, climate<br />
change and the present disarray <strong>in</strong> world commodity markets pose serious challenges. Global<br />
<strong>in</strong>tegration of many agricultural supply cha<strong>in</strong>s are plac<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g control <strong>in</strong> the hands of<br />
large-scale retailers, processors and exporters, whose compliance conditions are often difficult<br />
for smallholder farmers to meet.<br />
Until recently agricultural growth had resulted from an expansion of the area under crops or<br />
graz<strong>in</strong>g rather than higher yields. However, demographic pressures have largely exhausted<br />
available land and <strong>in</strong> many areas, average farm sizes are fall<strong>in</strong>g, with typically areas of 2–5 ha<br />
dom<strong>in</strong>at<strong>in</strong>g. Unfortunately land degradation has often been accompanied by <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g land<br />
scarcity and deforestation, shorter fallow periods, mono-cropp<strong>in</strong>g and low fertiliser applications<br />
that have all contributed to decl<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g soil fertility and soil erosion (Sanchez et al., 1997). In<br />
addition climate change is likely to compound many of these problems. This comb<strong>in</strong>ation of<br />
<strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g land scarcity, land degradation and climate change means that future <strong>in</strong>novation<br />
must of necessity <strong>in</strong>clude improved NRM practices <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g CA, as illustrated by the case<br />
studies <strong>in</strong> Malawi and Zambia. Rapid urbanisation will place additional responsibility on rural<br />
areas to produce surpluses at affordable prices. IAR4D has the potential to play a lead<strong>in</strong>g role<br />
<strong>in</strong> the scenarios be<strong>in</strong>g played out as a key framework that allows the <strong>in</strong>tegration of NRM issues<br />
with other vital issues <strong>in</strong> agricultural development.<br />
Given the heterogeneity with<strong>in</strong> African agriculture participatory research <strong>in</strong>volv<strong>in</strong>g scientists and<br />
farmers will become <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>gly important, not only to identify practices for specific conditions,<br />
but also to ensure that farmers are <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>gly able to drive the research agenda. Improved<br />
agronomic practices are likely to form a major component of these efforts, and this requires<br />
a sound understand<strong>in</strong>g of exist<strong>in</strong>g farm<strong>in</strong>g systems and farmers’ constra<strong>in</strong>ts and priorities.<br />
Technology development requires not only early <strong>in</strong>teraction between farmers and researchers<br />
but also an <strong>in</strong>creased focus on build<strong>in</strong>g and ma<strong>in</strong>ta<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g effective extension systems.<br />
Advances <strong>in</strong> the biological sciences, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g molecular biology and genetic eng<strong>in</strong>eer<strong>in</strong>g, offer<br />
considerable potential to develop new crop varieties that can prosper <strong>in</strong> Africa’s drought/<br />
flood and pest-prone environments. However they require <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>gly specialised staff and<br />
100 Agricultural Innovation <strong>in</strong> Sub-Saharan Africa