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Download - Foreign Military Studies Office - U.S. Army

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since many can help slow or prevent the use of force. These uses may also<br />

affect force projection, mobilization, and movement, thus affecting the<br />

capability to conduct actual conflict.<br />

Another virtual peacemaking use is to energize the diplomatic language<br />

of treaties. For example, any treaty utilizing the words “develop, plan, train, or<br />

engage in” has a use for virtual peacemaking. “Develop” can refer to the ability<br />

to expand on existing capabilities through, for example, new satellite links;<br />

“plan” can refer to the construction of an Internet capability or the laying of<br />

fiber optic cable; “train” can refer to the use of simulations to learn how to use<br />

preventive techniques, or to follow logic trees that would demonstrate the<br />

negative impact of some decisions; and “engage” can refer to IT methods to<br />

conduct negotiations through the use of information technology means<br />

(communication systems, etc.)<br />

Governments can use virtual peacemaking tools as well. They can use<br />

IT as a deterrent or a confidence-building measure to contain or block access to<br />

other information or technology. As a deterrent, IT can help explain an action,<br />

put pressure on people or organizations, help instill fear over potential actions,<br />

and even find expression as an information saturation operation. IT can also<br />

deter by threatening to expose a leader’s state secrets, by demonstrating the<br />

impotence of a nation to offer a credible threat, or by exposing troop<br />

deployments or other forms of military buildups, thereby uncovering blatant<br />

lies or military plans designed to manipulate public opinion.<br />

A final virtual peacemaking use by governments is to help achieve<br />

economic leverage over potential combatants through inducements and<br />

incentives to be brought into the Information Age or, failing complicity, by<br />

using IT to establish economic blockades and affect indicators of stability and<br />

vitality, among other measures. Virtual peacemaking relies heavily on images<br />

and communications, with words and visuals becoming a currency of sort.<br />

The military must learn to integrate virtual peacemaking mechanisms<br />

into its preventive deployments and defensive postures. The military can fool<br />

potential combatants about the actual situation before them, gain information<br />

on potential combatants, and exert pressure. It can also take preventive steps by<br />

planning ahead to control the consequences that might develop. In the final<br />

analysis, virtual peacemaking complements General Reimer’s strategic<br />

preemption concept.<br />

Thus, the balance of power in the world is no longer simply about bi- or<br />

multi-polar issues. Nor is it simply about balancing issues of diffuse, profound,<br />

and ancient collective-memory problems (race, religion, history, national<br />

121

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