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Download - Foreign Military Studies Office - U.S. Army

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initiated by the US. In this sense we are living in a most dangerous and<br />

sensitive timeframe until our devices become fail-safe.<br />

The analysis suggests the need for work on developing a “military<br />

software science” to help understand these new phenomena. Such a science<br />

would have a goal of providing a better interpretation and forecast of the<br />

scenarios that countries embed in their military software. Such software would<br />

not only improve our response posture but embed areas for human reason to<br />

overcome electronic virtual situational mistakes.<br />

Background: Implications of the Switch to a Digitized Force<br />

There has been a massive shift from analog to digital representations of<br />

data. Analog systems processed continuous voltage amplitudes and were costly<br />

and specially designed which caused difficulties when sharing information with<br />

other systems. Digital systems utilize rapidly switching “on” or “off” states of<br />

binary “1” or A0" representations of data. Digital technology not only permits a<br />

vast decrease in the size and cost of electronic hardware, but much of the task<br />

of processing digital information can be accomplished in software rather than<br />

hardware. This makes the digital format vastly more flexible which explains<br />

our increased reliance on it.<br />

The underlying commonality in all digital signal processing hardware,<br />

and the ready ability to convert formats and process the information by using<br />

software, have caused an explosion in information sharing among digital<br />

systems. But it is this very ease of transmission, ease of extensive processing,<br />

ease of changing the processing software, and consequent widespread sharing<br />

of digital data that makes intrusion so scary; and so possible. If intrusion and<br />

corruption succeed, stability disappears and the software’s 1’s and 0’s start<br />

falling into unpredictable places, much like the ball that falls unpredictably into<br />

the spinning roulette wheel. Stability could also be affected if the scenarios<br />

embedded in the software are unable to handle unexpected anomalies<br />

deliberately introduced by an opponent. 368 This is the game of digital roulette<br />

nations play with the software in their advanced warning systems, rockets, and<br />

satellites on a daily basis.<br />

Such a game of digital roulette could result in serious mishaps or<br />

instigate some catastrophic chain reaction of events. For example, what would<br />

happen if one side develops the technology to present false radar blips on<br />

JSSTARS (or the equivalent aircraft in other countries) in a manner so realistic,<br />

extensive, and threatening that a potential opponent uses up an arsenal of cruise<br />

368 Author’s discussion with Mr. Jay Willis, defense scientist.<br />

203

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