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Download - Foreign Military Studies Office - U.S. Army

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One answer to the problem of anomalies has been offered by Peircean<br />

Semeiotics, the science of self-controlled, deliberate reasoning while focused<br />

on problem solving. It is a body of thought that offers the opportunity to<br />

construct a system that is able to deal with and react to a new situation in a nonprogrammed<br />

manner. All artificial intelligence systems developed to date do<br />

not fit these criteria. 378 Complexity theory is another approach to solving the<br />

problem that could be investigated.<br />

These features of software demonstrate the growing complexity of<br />

working in virtual space. More importantly, this puts a new spin on the old<br />

saying “if there is the perception of a problem, then we have a problem...even if<br />

the problem is simply the perception.” What if the perception problem is in the<br />

software? Will cultural software research become a new branch of investigation<br />

as a result? And will the new “enemy-image” manifested as software-generated<br />

blips and pixels so dehumanize adversaries into images that the use of force<br />

will be more likely instead of less likely?<br />

Problem Three: The Human Dimension<br />

The context within which decisions are made is complicated today by<br />

an increasing reliance on a virtual image of reality (or simulacrum, an image or<br />

representation of reality). Often the analyst/decision-maker’s frame of<br />

reference, expectations, and training leaves them unprepared for what is<br />

represented in virtual space and for its interpretation. From nation to nation an<br />

analyst= s vision of virtual space varies, dependent not only on the software and<br />

analytical tools available but also on the cultural and religious philosophies<br />

shaping the analyst’s/programmer’s view of reality. Unaccustomed to studying<br />

a virtual “enemy-image,” analysts struggle to interpret the virtual images they<br />

see or hear within their own context.<br />

The interpretation of the intent of an electronic image or the detection<br />

of electronic waves depends on the picture of virtual reality for which the<br />

country-specific analyst was trained. This implies that the decision-making<br />

focus has shifted some from planner/analyst/decision-maker and is now heavily<br />

influenced by the operator. Analysis now is more in the direction of<br />

operator/analyst/decision-maker. Greater reliance on the operator= s<br />

interpretation implies that it is the tactical operator or the analyst who will have<br />

to make many of the incredibly vital and critical decisions about target<br />

engagements, not strategic leaders.<br />

378 Discussion with Mr. Ed Nozawa of Lockheed on 11 February 1999.<br />

208

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