Full Report - Subregional Office for East and North-East Asia - escap
Full Report - Subregional Office for East and North-East Asia - escap
Full Report - Subregional Office for East and North-East Asia - escap
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MACROECONOMIC PERFORMANCE AND POLICY CHALLENGES AT THE SUBREGIONAL LEVEL CHAPTER 2<br />
The Government of China unveiled comprehensive<br />
guidelines in February 2013 to improve income<br />
distribution in the country. 1 The average real income<br />
of urban <strong>and</strong> rural residents will be doubled in 2020<br />
from the 2010 level. The middle-income group will<br />
be exp<strong>and</strong>ed <strong>and</strong> the number of those living below<br />
the poverty line will be sharply reduced by 80 million<br />
by 2015. In China, poverty is mainly a rural problem<br />
<strong>and</strong> 128 million people were estimated to constitute<br />
the rural poor in 2011. The Government will enhance<br />
spending on social security <strong>and</strong> employment, <strong>and</strong><br />
economic growth will be more consumption driven.<br />
The guidelines also offer directions on an extensive<br />
range of policy areas, such as taxation, subsidies,<br />
salary system, financial regulation, farmers’ incomes,<br />
household registration <strong>and</strong> social security. The local<br />
governments <strong>and</strong> various departments have been<br />
urged to map out supporting schemes <strong>and</strong> detailed<br />
rules <strong>for</strong> implementation of the guidelines. Effective<br />
implementation of the guidelines will help in reducing<br />
growing income inequality <strong>and</strong> accelerate the process<br />
of poverty reduction in the country.<br />
Boosting potential growth<br />
<strong>and</strong> improving income inequality<br />
appear as common medium-term<br />
policy priorities<br />
Boosting potential growth <strong>and</strong> improving income<br />
inequality appear as common medium-term policy<br />
priorities across <strong>East</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>North</strong>-<strong>East</strong> <strong>Asia</strong>. Boosting<br />
productive capacity requires additional ef<strong>for</strong>ts to<br />
increase the labour <strong>for</strong>ce participation rate, especially<br />
<strong>for</strong> women, which is about 50% in Japan, Mongolia<br />
<strong>and</strong> the Republic of Korea <strong>and</strong> much lower than<br />
male rates of more than 65%, <strong>and</strong> to further<br />
prepare the population <strong>for</strong> the challenges of the<br />
knowledge economy. Measures to align service sector<br />
productivity with the levels prevailing in manufacturing<br />
<strong>and</strong> in developed countries would also ease the<br />
shift in sources of growth to domestic dem<strong>and</strong>.<br />
Prompt action on these fronts, also drawing on best<br />
practices in <strong>Asia</strong> <strong>and</strong> the rest of the world, should<br />
pave the way <strong>for</strong> more inclusive growth.<br />
Ageing is an additional challenge, as the subregion<br />
experiences the fastest demographic transition in<br />
the world, with the proportion of persons 65 years<br />
or older projected to rise from 1 in 10 in 2010<br />
to 1 in 3 in 2050. Care of the elderly, including<br />
care <strong>for</strong> physical <strong>and</strong> psychological health, <strong>and</strong><br />
social <strong>and</strong> income support, will have implications<br />
<strong>for</strong> fiscal sustainability <strong>and</strong> economic growth, but<br />
it is imperative <strong>for</strong> policymakers to recognize that<br />
older citizens can contribute to the economy <strong>and</strong><br />
societies at large in their multiple roles as producers,<br />
consumers, transmitters of traditions, tenders of<br />
children in families, moral authorities in communities<br />
<strong>and</strong> so on.<br />
The environment is the third dimension of sustainable<br />
development, <strong>and</strong> the subregion faces great<br />
challenges in this regard. In order to tackle them,<br />
individual countries have initiated various policies,<br />
in particular to reduce air pollution <strong>and</strong> its adverse<br />
impacts on human health <strong>and</strong> the environment. The<br />
Fourth Basic Environmental Plan of Japan 2 includes<br />
both regulatory measures on pollutants <strong>and</strong> economic<br />
tools to protect the atmospheric environment. In<br />
the Republic of Korea, the Total Air Pollution Load<br />
Management System, an advanced environmental<br />
management system which rations annual total<br />
allowable emissions, has been implemented. The<br />
Government of China has made significant progress<br />
<strong>and</strong> has put <strong>for</strong>ward its ambitious twelfth five-year<br />
plan to reduce by 2015 the level of sulphur dioxide<br />
in the air by 8% compared with that of 2010, despite<br />
the projected rapid increase in the number of power<br />
plants <strong>and</strong> vehicles. Mongolia also tightened the<br />
national st<strong>and</strong>ard <strong>for</strong> air pollution emissions from<br />
coal-fired power plants in 2011; however, outdated<br />
technologies <strong>and</strong> power plants, as well as increasing<br />
major emissions from in<strong>for</strong>mal settlements (gers)<br />
<strong>and</strong> mobile air pollution sources (old cars), still pose<br />
significant challenges. Policy coherence is a major<br />
problem to be addressed. A poignant example is<br />
the decision to make raw coal more af<strong>for</strong>dable by<br />
reducing its price, while restricting its use in order<br />
to improve air quality.<br />
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