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Full Report - Subregional Office for East and North-East Asia - escap

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MACROECONOMIC PERFORMANCE AND POLICY CHALLENGES AT THE SUBREGIONAL LEVEL CHAPTER 2<br />

The Government of China unveiled comprehensive<br />

guidelines in February 2013 to improve income<br />

distribution in the country. 1 The average real income<br />

of urban <strong>and</strong> rural residents will be doubled in 2020<br />

from the 2010 level. The middle-income group will<br />

be exp<strong>and</strong>ed <strong>and</strong> the number of those living below<br />

the poverty line will be sharply reduced by 80 million<br />

by 2015. In China, poverty is mainly a rural problem<br />

<strong>and</strong> 128 million people were estimated to constitute<br />

the rural poor in 2011. The Government will enhance<br />

spending on social security <strong>and</strong> employment, <strong>and</strong><br />

economic growth will be more consumption driven.<br />

The guidelines also offer directions on an extensive<br />

range of policy areas, such as taxation, subsidies,<br />

salary system, financial regulation, farmers’ incomes,<br />

household registration <strong>and</strong> social security. The local<br />

governments <strong>and</strong> various departments have been<br />

urged to map out supporting schemes <strong>and</strong> detailed<br />

rules <strong>for</strong> implementation of the guidelines. Effective<br />

implementation of the guidelines will help in reducing<br />

growing income inequality <strong>and</strong> accelerate the process<br />

of poverty reduction in the country.<br />

Boosting potential growth<br />

<strong>and</strong> improving income inequality<br />

appear as common medium-term<br />

policy priorities<br />

Boosting potential growth <strong>and</strong> improving income<br />

inequality appear as common medium-term policy<br />

priorities across <strong>East</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>North</strong>-<strong>East</strong> <strong>Asia</strong>. Boosting<br />

productive capacity requires additional ef<strong>for</strong>ts to<br />

increase the labour <strong>for</strong>ce participation rate, especially<br />

<strong>for</strong> women, which is about 50% in Japan, Mongolia<br />

<strong>and</strong> the Republic of Korea <strong>and</strong> much lower than<br />

male rates of more than 65%, <strong>and</strong> to further<br />

prepare the population <strong>for</strong> the challenges of the<br />

knowledge economy. Measures to align service sector<br />

productivity with the levels prevailing in manufacturing<br />

<strong>and</strong> in developed countries would also ease the<br />

shift in sources of growth to domestic dem<strong>and</strong>.<br />

Prompt action on these fronts, also drawing on best<br />

practices in <strong>Asia</strong> <strong>and</strong> the rest of the world, should<br />

pave the way <strong>for</strong> more inclusive growth.<br />

Ageing is an additional challenge, as the subregion<br />

experiences the fastest demographic transition in<br />

the world, with the proportion of persons 65 years<br />

or older projected to rise from 1 in 10 in 2010<br />

to 1 in 3 in 2050. Care of the elderly, including<br />

care <strong>for</strong> physical <strong>and</strong> psychological health, <strong>and</strong><br />

social <strong>and</strong> income support, will have implications<br />

<strong>for</strong> fiscal sustainability <strong>and</strong> economic growth, but<br />

it is imperative <strong>for</strong> policymakers to recognize that<br />

older citizens can contribute to the economy <strong>and</strong><br />

societies at large in their multiple roles as producers,<br />

consumers, transmitters of traditions, tenders of<br />

children in families, moral authorities in communities<br />

<strong>and</strong> so on.<br />

The environment is the third dimension of sustainable<br />

development, <strong>and</strong> the subregion faces great<br />

challenges in this regard. In order to tackle them,<br />

individual countries have initiated various policies,<br />

in particular to reduce air pollution <strong>and</strong> its adverse<br />

impacts on human health <strong>and</strong> the environment. The<br />

Fourth Basic Environmental Plan of Japan 2 includes<br />

both regulatory measures on pollutants <strong>and</strong> economic<br />

tools to protect the atmospheric environment. In<br />

the Republic of Korea, the Total Air Pollution Load<br />

Management System, an advanced environmental<br />

management system which rations annual total<br />

allowable emissions, has been implemented. The<br />

Government of China has made significant progress<br />

<strong>and</strong> has put <strong>for</strong>ward its ambitious twelfth five-year<br />

plan to reduce by 2015 the level of sulphur dioxide<br />

in the air by 8% compared with that of 2010, despite<br />

the projected rapid increase in the number of power<br />

plants <strong>and</strong> vehicles. Mongolia also tightened the<br />

national st<strong>and</strong>ard <strong>for</strong> air pollution emissions from<br />

coal-fired power plants in 2011; however, outdated<br />

technologies <strong>and</strong> power plants, as well as increasing<br />

major emissions from in<strong>for</strong>mal settlements (gers)<br />

<strong>and</strong> mobile air pollution sources (old cars), still pose<br />

significant challenges. Policy coherence is a major<br />

problem to be addressed. A poignant example is<br />

the decision to make raw coal more af<strong>for</strong>dable by<br />

reducing its price, while restricting its use in order<br />

to improve air quality.<br />

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