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Full Report - Subregional Office for East and North-East Asia - escap

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DEVELOPMENTAL MACROECONOMICS: THE CRITICAL ROLE OF PUBLIC EXPENDITURE CHAPTER 3<br />

Although now the IMF recognizes the perspective of<br />

many emerging <strong>and</strong> developing countries, critics believe<br />

that its guidelines on capital account management go<br />

only half way; it still sees capital account liberalization as<br />

a long-term goal. 29 The Fund recommends restrictions<br />

on inflows only as a sort of “last resort” – when all<br />

other measures, such as building up reserves, letting<br />

currencies appreciate <strong>and</strong> strengthening fiscal policy<br />

have been adopted. More caution is urged when<br />

using regulation on outflows, arguing that by <strong>and</strong> large<br />

they should not be used but can be considered in<br />

crisis or near crisis conditions.<br />

However, from a developmental viewpoint, capital<br />

account openness should not be viewed as an<br />

all-or-nothing position. The increased importance<br />

of equity flows has increased the effective scope<br />

of a capital account policy of semi-openness. A<br />

capital account can be open to equity flows – both<br />

portfolio <strong>and</strong> FDI, even when money <strong>and</strong> bond flows<br />

are managed. The benefits of managing short-term<br />

capital flows can be summarized as follows:<br />

• Reduce the instability <strong>and</strong> possibility of crises<br />

arising from volatile international capital flows<br />

• Insulate domestic interest rates, credit conditions<br />

<strong>and</strong>/or the exchange rate from international credit<br />

conditions<br />

• Make some room <strong>for</strong> expansionary monetary policy<br />

KEY AREAS OF INCLUSIVE AND SUSTAIN-<br />

ABLE DEVELOPMENT<br />

This section provides a rationale <strong>for</strong> public<br />

investment in key areas of inclusive <strong>and</strong> sustainable<br />

development. They include: ensuring productive<br />

<strong>and</strong> decent employment; providing better access<br />

to social services, including health, education,<br />

protection <strong>for</strong> persons with disabilities <strong>and</strong> old-age<br />

income security; <strong>and</strong> ensuring af<strong>for</strong>dable access to<br />

energy. Together, at their basic levels, they af<strong>for</strong>d<br />

social protection in the broader sense of the term<br />

<strong>and</strong> ensure resilient <strong>and</strong> inclusive development.<br />

Indeed, whether the terms are aspirational or<br />

intergovernmentally negotiated <strong>and</strong> legally binding,<br />

it has long been argued in international instruments<br />

that the guarantee of a certain st<strong>and</strong>ard of living<br />

is an inalienable human right. 30<br />

In addition to rights-based arguments, there are<br />

also economic <strong>and</strong> social benefits to ensuring<br />

that all individuals have income security as well<br />

as universal access to basic services, such as<br />

health <strong>and</strong> education. Indeed, “a robust system<br />

of social protection not only fulfils people’s basic<br />

rights, it also establishes a firm plat<strong>for</strong>m <strong>for</strong> both<br />

social <strong>and</strong> economic development <strong>and</strong> provides an<br />

automatic stabilizer <strong>for</strong> vulnerable groups affected<br />

by crisis” (ESCAP, 2011c, p. 3). There is evidence<br />

to suggest that, in the <strong>Asia</strong>n <strong>and</strong> Pacific region,<br />

a direct correlation exists between robust social<br />

security mechanisms <strong>and</strong> human development (see<br />

figure 3.3).<br />

In recognizing the central role of social protection,<br />

especially during a crisis, the United Nations System<br />

Chief Executives Board <strong>for</strong> Coordination launched the<br />

social protection floor initiative in April 2009. That<br />

initiative is defined by the Board as “an integrated<br />

set of social policies designed to guarantee income<br />

security <strong>and</strong> access to social services <strong>for</strong> all,<br />

paying particular attention to vulnerable groups, <strong>and</strong><br />

protecting <strong>and</strong> empowering people across the life<br />

cycle” (ILO <strong>and</strong> WHO, 2011, p. 9).<br />

The global leaders gathered at the High-level<br />

Plenary Meeting of the sixty-fifth session of the<br />

General Assembly in September 2010 (the Millennium<br />

Development Goals Summit) declared: “We consider<br />

that promoting universal access to social services<br />

<strong>and</strong> providing social protection floors can make<br />

an important contribution to consolidating <strong>and</strong><br />

achieving further development gains. Social protection<br />

systems that address <strong>and</strong> reduce inequality <strong>and</strong><br />

social exclusion are essential <strong>for</strong> protecting the<br />

gains towards the achievement of the Millennium<br />

Development Goals”. 31<br />

In June 2012, a new international labour st<strong>and</strong>ard,<br />

Social Protection Floors Recommendation, 2012<br />

(No. 202), 32 was adopted at the International Labour<br />

157

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