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agenda city of watsonville city council/redevelopment agency meeting

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The IRWMP update must address both adaptation to the effects <strong>of</strong> climate change and mitigation <strong>of</strong><br />

Green House Gas (GHG) emissions for the region. The IRWMP must include the following items:<br />

A discussion <strong>of</strong> the potential effects <strong>of</strong> climate change on the IRWM region, including<br />

an evaluation <strong>of</strong> the IRWM region’s vulnerabilities to the effects <strong>of</strong> climate change<br />

and potential adaptation responses to those vulnerabilities; and<br />

A process that discloses and considers GHG emissions when choosing between<br />

project alternatives.<br />

The updated Pajaro IRWMP is scheduled to be completed in 2013 at which time the climate change<br />

analysis for the region can be incorporated into the City <strong>of</strong> Watsonville UWMP. However, there are<br />

opportunities for the City to develop a flexible water resources planning strategy in advance <strong>of</strong> the<br />

IRWMP regional climate change strategy. This section describes the City <strong>of</strong> Watsonville planning<br />

approach for a “no-regrets” strategy.<br />

Background<br />

Regional water supplies are expected to decline due to climate change. The City residents depend on an<br />

already overdrafted groundwater basin and could be vulnerable to changes that exacerbate those<br />

overdraft conditions. While the actual conditions <strong>of</strong> future climate change on the City are uncertain and<br />

vary based on the global climate models used, it is generally accepted that impacts have already<br />

occurred in the region and that these impacts are very likely to intensify in the future.<br />

Most models predict drier conditions, on average, along the Central Coast <strong>of</strong> California. Future climate<br />

change evaluations for the region will include an assessment <strong>of</strong> the following environmental conditions:<br />

Temperature<br />

Precipitation<br />

Sea Level<br />

Vegetation<br />

Wildfires<br />

Storm Events<br />

Each <strong>of</strong> these factors can affect the City’s water supply conditions. Most critically, increased<br />

temperatures can lead to increased water use for both agricultural and urban water users, decreased<br />

precipitation can reduce groundwater infiltration, and increased sea levels can exacerbate seawater<br />

intrusion.<br />

Exactly predicting these future conditions is not necessary for implementing responsible water<br />

management strategies that reduce vulnerabilities for the residents <strong>of</strong> the City. Planning for more<br />

frequent and/or severe drought is considered a “no-regrets” strategy. The region is already at risk from<br />

extended drought, seawater intrusion into coastal wells, and over pumping <strong>of</strong> groundwater. More<br />

frequent or severe drought conditions and potential increased water use would exacerbate these<br />

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