OPINION Vol.1, No.1 June 2013 - National Defence University

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9 Lawrence Freedman, “Warfare Evolves into Fourth Generation: A Commewnt on thomas X. Hammes”, Global Insurgency and Future of Armed Conflict, pp 78 – 86. 10 Roger Chickering and Stig Förster, eds., Great War, Total War: Combat and Mobilization on the Western Front, 1914-1918, New York: Cambridge, 2000; Roger Chickering, Stig Förster, and Bernd Greiner, eds., A World at Total War: Global Conflict and the Politics of Destruction, 1937-1947, New York: Cambridge, 2005. These works are part of a series that recently has problematized both the concept and reality of total war. 11 Major Shannon Beebe, US Army, War Is Boring. “Human Security” Strategy in Africa, 30 October 2008, available at http://www.warisboring.com/.../personal-security-strategy-in-Africa/. 12 Lawrence Freedman, “War Evolves into the Fourth Generation: A Comment on Thomas X. Hammes,” in Terriff, Karp, and Karp, 85; Michael EVans, “Elegant IrreleVance Revisited: A Critique of Fourth Generation Warfare,” in Terriff, Karp, and Karp, 68-69, 71-72. 13 John R. Boyd, Patterns of Conflict, December 1986. 14 Matthew O. Jackson and Massimo Morelli, The Reasons for Wars – an Updated Survey, Revised: December 2009. 15 The premise that winning popular support has become of central importance in contemporary warfare is well-argued in Rupert Smith, The Utility of Force: The Art of War in the Modern World (London: Penguin Books, 2006). 16 Colin S. Gray, Another Bloody Century: Future Warfare (London: Weidenfeld and Nicolson, 2006). 17 Kaldor, “Elaborating the ‘New War’ Thesis,” 220; Van Creveld, 155. 18 Beyond Greed and GrieVance: Policy Lessons from Studies in the Political Economy of Armed Conflict by Karen Ballentine and Heiko Nitzschke. 19 Insurgents, Terrorists, and Militias: The Warriors of Contemporary Combat Richard H. Shultz and Andrea J. Dew published in June 2006. 20 Qiao Liang and Wang Xiangsui, Unrestricted Warfare, Beijing, China: People’s Liberation Army Literature and Arts Publishing House, February 1999. Other particularly valuable publications are Michael EVans, “From Kadesh to Kandahar: Military Theory and the Future of War,” Naval War College Review, Summer 2003; Frank Hoffman, Hybrid Wars, Arlington, VA: Potomac Institute for Policy Studies, 2007; Australian Army, Complex Warfighting, Army Headquarters, Canberra ACT 2003; and U.S. Joint Forces Command, Joint Operating Environment: Trends and Challenges for the Future Joint Operating Force through 2030, Norfolk, VA, 2007. 21 The distinction between terror and terrorism is a common theme in the writings of Dr. Thomas A. Marks, perhaps the foremost authority on Maoist insurgency. See for example his exposition on the use of terror by the Philippine insurgents of the New People’s Army in Thomas A. Marks, Maoist Insurgency since Vietnam (London: Frank Cass, 1996), 151-173. 22 David Kilcullen, Counter Insurgency – Redux, Survival vol. 48 no. 4, Winter 2006–07, pp. 111–130. 23 English Translation of Ayman Al Zwahiri’s letter to Abu Musab al-Zarqawi’, The Weekly Standard, 12 October 2005, http://www.weeklystandard.com/Content/Public/Articles/000/000/006/203gpuul.asp. 24 Syed Saleem Shahzad, Inside Al Qaeda and the Taliban, Beyond Bin Laden and 9 / 11, London: Pluto Press, 2011. 25 Abu Bakr Naji, Management of Savagery. 26 Thomas Huber, Compound Wars: The Fatal Knot (Fort Leavenworth, KS: Command and General Staff College, 1996). 27 “Hybrid vs. Compound War: The Janus Choice of Modern War: Defining Today’s Multifaceted Conflict.” Armed Forces Journal, October 2009. 28 Colonel. Dr. Frans Osinga On Boyd, Bin Laden and Fourth Generation Warfare as String Theory, From John Olson, ed., On New Wars (Oslo, 2007, forthcoming). Reprinted with permission, 26 June 2007. 29 Hoffman, Frank. Hybrid Wars, Arlington, VA: Potomac Institute for Policy Studies, 2007. 30 ibid 31 ibid 32 U.S. Joint Forces Command, The Joint Operating Environment: Challenges and Implications for the Future Joint Force (Norfolk, VA: U.S. Joint Forces Command, November 2008), 13. 33 U.S. Department of the Army, The Army Strategy, 1. U.S. Joint Forces Command, The Joint Operating Environment: Challenges and Implications for the Future Joint Force, 10. 34 Objective Force Task Force, The Army in 2020 (Washington, DC: U.S. Department of the Army, November 2003), 5. 3535 35 Colonel Steven C. Williamson, From Fourth Generation Warfare to Hybrid War (United States Army, USAWC Class of 2009), 15. OPINION Vol.1 No.1 138 June 2013
PART – 4 VIEWS ‣ Human Security OPINION Vol.1 No.1 139 June 2013
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O P I N I O N VOL.1, NO.1 JUNE 2013
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MESSAGE OF PATRON The depth of know
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TABLE OF CONTENTS Part-1 Global / R
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Introduction SOUTH AND CENTRAL ASIA
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Hydropower Resources. Tajikistan is
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post-Arab Spring transition in the
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Opportunities • Russian aspiratio
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Infrastructural Development It
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Introduction AL QAEDA AND THE MUSLI
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Attacks in mainland USA - 09 Sep 20
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of peace negotiations, saying that
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Soviet Invasion of Afghanistan. Aft
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Reactive Strategy against Al Qaeda.
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Deportation / Repatriation of Illeg
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COERCIVE STATECRAFT "The most compl
Page 31 and 32:
US Coercion of USSR - Cuban Missile
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Indian Coercion of Pakistan - Opera
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• Determine the punishment regime
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other states, or produce counter na
Page 39 and 40:
Introduction RISING INDIA - A CRITI
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protecting Indian investments overs
Page 43 and 44:
India’s Military. Indian military
Page 45 and 46:
India has neither been able to prod
Page 47 and 48:
In an idealistic scenario, where In
Page 49 and 50:
Introduction RISING POWERS AND GLOB
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come to dominate the 21 st century
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In the face of the growing importan
Page 55 and 56:
Better Security Hope in Sight Prosp
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power in central and provincial gov
Page 59 and 60:
Introduction ARAB UPRISING - A CRIT
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Abd-al-Rab Mansur Al Hadi assumed p
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the region of Northwest Africa, wes
Page 65 and 66:
Transparency International report f
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leading to the best case scenario.
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Recommended Areas for Immediate Att
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PART - 2 National Security ‣ Glob
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the establishment of the Bretton Wo
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Globalization and Poverty Alleviati
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years and yet an air of distrust st
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can cause capital flight, which is
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Imperatives for Reaping the Benefit
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Conclusion of other hostile element
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58 TasneemNoorani, “MFN Status an
Page 87 and 88:
Elections 2014 Joint appeal to the
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Tranche 1: began transition in July
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PART- IV FUTURE AFGHAN SCENARIOS AN
Page 93 and 94: Indian and Chinese involvement in d
Page 95 and 96: influence and eastern and southern
Page 97 and 98: scenario would have grave implicati
Page 99 and 100: In present day Asia, three big demo
Page 101 and 102: Major Conclusions. Major conclusion
Page 103 and 104: The increase in glacial melting may
Page 105 and 106: Demography. Unplanned expansion of
Page 107 and 108: Legislate to ensure energy efficien
Page 109 and 110: 26 http://www.pmd.gov.pk/rnd/rnd_fi
Page 111 and 112: INDO - PAK CONFLICTS; 1998 TO DATE
Page 113 and 114: During the conflict, leaders/offici
Page 115 and 116: Pakistan, India, without any formal
Page 117 and 118: or the establishment of stability a
Page 119 and 120: Researchers: Supervisor: Brig Asim
Page 121 and 122: The Stone Age of Campaigning. Durin
Page 123 and 124: Technological Advancements - WW 1 F
Page 125 and 126: American Operational Art - WW II O
Page 127 and 128: war began. By early 1951, the fight
Page 129 and 130: • Freedom of Action for Afghan Fi
Page 131 and 132: WW-2 • Joint Warfare. • Amphibi
Page 133 and 134: 35 Antulio J. Echevarria II, “Ame
Page 135 and 136: are not necessarily new. The four e
Page 137 and 138: Fifth Generation Warfare Theoretica
Page 139 and 140: • Terrorists now have transnation
Page 141 and 142: hierarchical organizations. Technol
Page 143: Conclusion Force Multipliers. Avail
Page 147 and 148: Commission for Human Security, co c
Page 149: 3 P.H. Liotta and Taylor Owen, “W
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