OPINION Vol.1, No.1 June 2013 - National Defence University

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5 Tariq Ramadan, The Arab Awakening – Islam and the Middle East, (England: Penguin Group,2012), 2 6 Timo Behr and Mika Aaltola, The Arab Uprising- Causes, Prospects and Implications, March 2011 7 Katerina Dalacoura, The 2011 Uprising in the Arab Middle East: Political Change and Geopolitical Implications, http://www.chathamhouse.org/ 8 Marc Lynch, America and Egypt After the Uprising, http;//www.marclynch.com/wp 9 Ahram online, Morsi’s first 100 days: A report card, 9 October 2012, http://english.ahramonline.org.en/news 10 Dr. Morsi’s Electoral Pragram- General Features of Nahda (Renaissance) Project, Ikhwanweb, 28 April 2012, http://www. Ikhwanweb.com 11 Security Council SC/10200, Security Council Approves “No Fly Zone” over Libya, 17 march 2011, http://www.un.org/News/Press/docs 12 10 Reasons why Arab Spring happened and continues a year on, Outernationalists, 14 July 2012, Accessed 23 December 2012, http://outernationalist.net/ 13 Bobby Ghosh, The Arab Spring’s Nobel Laureate Says the Revolution Isn’t over, Time World, 17 July 2012, http://world.time.com/2012/07/17/the-arab-spring 14 Saad Abedine and Ben Brumfield, Over 37000 have died in Syria’s civil war, opposition group says, CNN, 16 November 2012, http://edition.cnn.com 15 Maha Husain Aziz, Is Jordan Headed for an Arab Spring, Bloomberg Business week, 25 November 2012, http://www.businessweek.com/articles/2012-11-25 16 Donna Abu-Nasr, Saudi Women Inspired by Fall of Mubarak Step Up Equality Demand, 31 March 2011, Islam Daily, http://www.islamdaily.org/en/saudi-arabia/ 17 Chas W. Freeman Jr. The Arab Awakening: Strategic Implications, Middle East Policy, 12 June 2011, http;//onlonelibrary.wiley.com 18 Sykes – Picot Agreement, Encyclopaedia Britannica, Accessed on 23 December 2012, http://www.britannica.com/ 19 Panorama 2012, The oil and gas producing countries of North Africa and Middle East, http://www.ifpenerglesnouvelles.com/ 20 Youth Unemployment Getting Even Worse, ILO Report, 4 September 2012, http;/www.ilo.org/global 21 The World Fact Book, Central Intelligence Agency, Accessed on 23 December 2012, http://www.cia.gov/library/publication 22 Tariq Ramadan, The Arab Awakening – Islam and the Middle East, (England: Penguin Group,2012), 9 23 CIA World Factbook, Indus Mundi, http://www.indexmundi.com/g 24 Mathew M Reed, King Abdullah’s Big Spending Spree, The Foreigner, 25 July 2012 25 World Audit, December 2012, http://www.worldaudit.org/democracy.htm 26 World Democracy and Press Freedom Ranking, http://www.worldaudit.org/democracy/ 27 Human Development Index (HDI), 2011 Rankings by UNDP, http://hdr.undp.org/en/statistic/ 28 Mapping the Global Muslim Population, The Pew Forum, 7 October 2009, http://www.pewforum.org/Muslim/Mapping 29 Chas W. Freeman Jr. The Arab Awakening: Strategic Implications, Middle East Policy, 12 June 2011, http://onlonelibrary.wiley.com 30 Olivier Roy, The Transformation of the Arab World, Journal of Democracy Volume 23, July 2012 31 Chas W. Freeman Jr. The Arab Awakening: Strategic Implications, Middle East Policy, 12 June 2011, http;//onlonelibrary.wiley.com 32 Olivier Roy, The Transformation of the Arab World, Journal of Democracy Volume 23, July 2012 33 Madeline Storck, The Role of Social Media in Political Mobilization: a Case Study of the January 2011 Egyptian Uprising, http://www.culturaldiplomacy.org/academy/ 34 Marc Lynch, Why the Arab Uprising will Force the U.S. to Rethink Israel-Palestine 35 Tariq Ramadan, The Arab Awakening – Islam and the Middle East, (England: Penguin Group,2012), 129-130 36 Robina Khalid Rathore and Dr. Theodore Karasik, Is Pakistan likely to Follow the “Arab Revolt”- Analysis, 12 September 2011, Eurasia review, http://www.eurasiareview.com/ 37 Javed Hafiz, Lessons of Arab Revolts, The Nation, 10 November 2012, http://www.nation.com.pk 38 Shaukat M Zafar, Hopes from Upcoming Elections, Pakistan Observer, 17 December 2012, http://pakobserver.net/dailynews.asp OPINION Vol.1 No.1 64 June 2013
PART – 2 National Security ‣ Globalization – Opportunities and Challenges for Pakistan ‣ Afghanistan – Pre and Post 2014: Implications for Pakistan ‣ Pakistan, Demography and Climate Change OPINION Vol.1 No.1 65 June 2013
Page 1 and 2:
O P I N I O N VOL.1, NO.1 JUNE 2013
Page 3 and 4:
MESSAGE OF PATRON The depth of know
Page 5 and 6:
TABLE OF CONTENTS Part-1 Global / R
Page 7 and 8:
Introduction SOUTH AND CENTRAL ASIA
Page 9 and 10:
Hydropower Resources. Tajikistan is
Page 11 and 12:
post-Arab Spring transition in the
Page 13 and 14:
Opportunities • Russian aspiratio
Page 15 and 16:
Infrastructural Development It
Page 17 and 18:
Introduction AL QAEDA AND THE MUSLI
Page 19 and 20: Attacks in mainland USA - 09 Sep 20
Page 21 and 22: of peace negotiations, saying that
Page 23 and 24: Soviet Invasion of Afghanistan. Aft
Page 25 and 26: Reactive Strategy against Al Qaeda.
Page 27 and 28: Deportation / Repatriation of Illeg
Page 29 and 30: COERCIVE STATECRAFT "The most compl
Page 31 and 32: US Coercion of USSR - Cuban Missile
Page 33 and 34: Indian Coercion of Pakistan - Opera
Page 35 and 36: • Determine the punishment regime
Page 37 and 38: other states, or produce counter na
Page 39 and 40: Introduction RISING INDIA - A CRITI
Page 41 and 42: protecting Indian investments overs
Page 43 and 44: India’s Military. Indian military
Page 45 and 46: India has neither been able to prod
Page 47 and 48: In an idealistic scenario, where In
Page 49 and 50: Introduction RISING POWERS AND GLOB
Page 51 and 52: come to dominate the 21 st century
Page 53 and 54: In the face of the growing importan
Page 55 and 56: Better Security Hope in Sight Prosp
Page 57 and 58: power in central and provincial gov
Page 59 and 60: Introduction ARAB UPRISING - A CRIT
Page 61 and 62: Abd-al-Rab Mansur Al Hadi assumed p
Page 63 and 64: the region of Northwest Africa, wes
Page 65 and 66: Transparency International report f
Page 67 and 68: leading to the best case scenario.
Page 69: Recommended Areas for Immediate Att
Page 73 and 74: the establishment of the Bretton Wo
Page 75 and 76: Globalization and Poverty Alleviati
Page 77 and 78: years and yet an air of distrust st
Page 79 and 80: can cause capital flight, which is
Page 81 and 82: Imperatives for Reaping the Benefit
Page 83 and 84: Conclusion of other hostile element
Page 85 and 86: 58 TasneemNoorani, “MFN Status an
Page 87 and 88: Elections 2014 Joint appeal to the
Page 89 and 90: Tranche 1: began transition in July
Page 91 and 92: PART- IV FUTURE AFGHAN SCENARIOS AN
Page 93 and 94: Indian and Chinese involvement in d
Page 95 and 96: influence and eastern and southern
Page 97 and 98: scenario would have grave implicati
Page 99 and 100: In present day Asia, three big demo
Page 101 and 102: Major Conclusions. Major conclusion
Page 103 and 104: The increase in glacial melting may
Page 105 and 106: Demography. Unplanned expansion of
Page 107 and 108: Legislate to ensure energy efficien
Page 109 and 110: 26 http://www.pmd.gov.pk/rnd/rnd_fi
Page 111 and 112: INDO - PAK CONFLICTS; 1998 TO DATE
Page 113 and 114: During the conflict, leaders/offici
Page 115 and 116: Pakistan, India, without any formal
Page 117 and 118: or the establishment of stability a
Page 119 and 120: Researchers: Supervisor: Brig Asim
Page 121 and 122:
The Stone Age of Campaigning. Durin
Page 123 and 124:
Technological Advancements - WW 1 F
Page 125 and 126:
American Operational Art - WW II O
Page 127 and 128:
war began. By early 1951, the fight
Page 129 and 130:
• Freedom of Action for Afghan Fi
Page 131 and 132:
WW-2 • Joint Warfare. • Amphibi
Page 133 and 134:
35 Antulio J. Echevarria II, “Ame
Page 135 and 136:
are not necessarily new. The four e
Page 137 and 138:
Fifth Generation Warfare Theoretica
Page 139 and 140:
• Terrorists now have transnation
Page 141 and 142:
hierarchical organizations. Technol
Page 143 and 144:
Conclusion Force Multipliers. Avail
Page 145 and 146:
PART - 4 VIEWS ‣ Human Security O
Page 147 and 148:
Commission for Human Security, co c
Page 149:
3 P.H. Liotta and Taylor Owen, “W
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